How Much Did the ECB Really Contribute to Ending the Sovereign Debt Crisis?

Frederico Mira Godinho
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

I show that once one incorporates country-specific yields into the identification of monetary factors for the European Central Bank, a new factor arises which plays a quantitatively important role in explaining the end of the sovereign debt crisis and the resulting convergence in economic outcomes across the Euro block. Specifications that exclude this novel factor instead imply that the central bank played little role in ending the crisis. I argue that this new factor reflects ECB communications that respond to certain countries' conditions beyond their share of Euro area activity, mostly during the crisis period.
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欧洲央行到底为结束主权债务危机做出了多大贡献?
我表明,一旦将特定国家的收益率纳入欧洲央行货币因素的识别中,就会出现一个新的因素,该因素在解释主权债务危机的结束以及由此导致的欧元区经济结果趋同方面发挥着重要的定量作用。排除这一新因素的规范反而意味着,央行在结束危机方面几乎没有发挥什么作用。我认为,这个新因素反映了欧洲央行对某些国家在欧元区活动中所占份额之外的情况做出回应的沟通,主要是在危机期间。
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