An Empirical Analysis of Rape Sentence Based on SPSS

Abstract

As an ancient natural crime, rape is a serious violation of the sexual autonomy of the women victims and has always been a key target of the judicial authorities in China. A standardised and reasonable sentence for the crime of rape can help safeguard the legal rights of women as well as maintain social harmony and stability. This paper investigates the sentence decisions of 341 cases of rape defendants heard by the basic people's courts in Zhejiang Province from 2017 to 2021, selecting 24 types of sentence influencing factors such as type of behaviour, defendant's mental condition ,defendant's age and so on, considering the effect of factors influencing the term of a fixed-term imprisonment and the application of probation and establishing a linear prediction model for a fixed-term imprisonment and a logistic prediction model for the application of probation. After examining the various factors influencing sentencing, it was found that the current degree of standardization of sentencing for rape is high, but there are problems such as insufficient protection for special groups such as young girls and mentally ill people, and low correlation between aggravated outcomes and sentencing, so the Supreme People's Court should further refine the sentencing guidance applicable to the whole country and make reasonable improvements