Smart Tourism Spillover Effects: Analysis Using an Inter-Regional Input-Output Model

F. Handayani
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Abstract

The pandemic crisis in 2020 has significantly impacted the tourism sector. Besides, the tourism sector is a sector that has great potential in the economy and is an alternative to replacing the extractive sector, such as coal mining. Furthermore, new concepts related to smart tourism are also starting to emerge, which is expected to help accelerate economic recovery. Based on this, this study aims to evaluate the economic effects of smart tourism, both intra- and inter-regional effects, using inter-regional input-output. This is the first study to discuss the regional linkages to smart tourism. The result shows that smart tourism in Indonesia has a spillover effect to other regions, which can help regional integration. The smart tourism industry has a larger total effect on value-added than other industries. In intraregional, the multiplier effect on output, income, and value-added is greater than other industries. The biggest spillover effect of smart tourism is Java and Nusa Tenggara. Based on forward and backward linkage analysis, smart tourism in Bali is classified as "dependent on inter-industrial demand as an intermediate primary production." In addition, smart tourism can be categorized as a key sector in intra regional Bali. With the investment simulation in the smart tourism industry, it can be forecasted that Indonesia's economic growth in 2022 will increase by 0.035 percent; Bali by 2.2 percent; and other provinces by 0.006 percent, given the improvement of other industries.
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智慧旅游溢出效应:基于区域间投入产出模型的分析
2020年的大流行危机严重影响了旅游业。此外,旅游业是一个在经济中具有巨大潜力的部门,是替代采掘业(如煤炭开采)的另一种选择。此外,与智能旅游相关的新概念也开始出现,预计将有助于加速经济复苏。在此基础上,本研究旨在利用区域间投入产出来评价智慧旅游的经济效应,包括区域内效应和区域间效应。这是第一个讨论智能旅游的区域联系的研究。结果表明,印尼智慧旅游对其他地区具有溢出效应,有利于区域一体化。与其他产业相比,智慧旅游产业的总增加值效应更大。在区域内,对产出、收入和增值的乘数效应大于其他产业。智慧旅游的最大外溢效应是爪哇和努沙登加拉。基于前向和后向联动分析,巴厘岛的智慧旅游被归类为“依赖产业间需求的中间初级生产”。此外,智慧旅游可以被归类为巴厘岛区域内的关键部门。通过对智慧旅游产业的投资模拟,可以预测到2022年印尼经济增长将增长0.035%;巴厘岛增长2.2%;与其他省份相比,增长了0.006%,因为其他行业有所改善。
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