Supporting the Student-Lesson Relationship with Petri Nets and Prediction Model with Inverse Proportion Approach

Osman Karcioğlu, Mehmet Göktürk
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Abstract

Uncertainty is disturbing. Eliminating uncertainty is important for people to proactively make the right decisions about the future. Therefore, the calculation of probabilities allows situation analysis to be made in order to make the most accurate decision for the future. It has been determined that models with a “concurrent” structure created with Petri Nets can perform situation analysis. In order for this analysis to be more rational, it is envisaged to support the Petri Nets model with an inverse proportionality approach. In this case study, the probability of students being successful in the courses they take was estimated with petri nets, and then, in addition to this analysis, it was formulated that more rational estimations could be made with the Inverse Proportion approach.
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Petri网与反比法预测模型对学生-课关系的支持
不确定性令人不安。消除不确定性对于人们主动地对未来做出正确的决定是很重要的。因此,概率的计算允许进行情况分析,以便为未来做出最准确的决策。已经确定,使用Petri网创建的具有“并发”结构的模型可以执行情况分析。为了使这种分析更加合理,设想用反比例方法支持Petri网模型。在这个案例研究中,学生通过petri网来估计他们所修课程的成功概率,然后,除了这个分析之外,还制定了反比法可以做出更合理的估计。
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