Exchange Rate and Trade in Services Nexus in Nigeria: A Non-Linear ARDL Approach

N. Audu, Titus O. Obiezue
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Abstract

A nonlinear ARDL model is employed to investigate the asymmetric drivers of non-oil trade in services between Nigeria and Netherlands. A significant number of past studies have concentrated their attention on the elasticity of trade in services to real exchange rates and income as well as on non-oil export, total export trade or import, yet none have delve into asymmetric relationship. This study aims to fills this void. Our result shows that the effects of exchange rate variations have both positive and negative displays with more negative asymmetry. This provides further insights in the nature of service asymmetries. (JEL Codes: C22, D43, E31, L71, Q41) Keywords: asymmetric cointegration, exchange rate adjustment, disaggregated, services
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尼日利亚的汇率和服务贸易关系:非线性ARDL方法
本文采用非线性ARDL模型来研究尼日利亚和荷兰之间非石油服务贸易的不对称驱动因素。过去的许多研究都把注意力集中在服务贸易对实际汇率和收入的弹性以及非石油出口、出口贸易总额或进口,但没有一个研究是非对称关系。本研究旨在填补这一空白。我们的研究结果表明,汇率变化的影响既有积极的一面,也有消极的一面,而且负不对称性更强。这提供了对服务不对称本质的进一步了解。(JEL代码:C22, D43, E31, L71, Q41)关键词:非对称协整,汇率调整,分类,服务业
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