Simulating Power Supplier's Behavior in Electricity Market

Xiuming Dong, T. Hu, Xinjie Li
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Abstract

This paper explores what will bring to the electricity market if power suppliers make changes in decision making rules. in the repeated bidding process, it is assumed that any power supplier can choose to bid based on Cournot adjustment learning as usual, or to make a change in his decision making rule such as bidding with his marginal cost or choosing the highest strategy at any stage. Simulation results show some colorful phenomena and indicate the changes in decision making rule can bring diversity to the market. Therefore, rule designers of electricity markets must design corresponding rules to reduce the risks of the market before its operation.
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电力市场中电力供应商行为的模拟
本文探讨了电力供应商改变决策规则将给电力市场带来的影响。在重复竞价过程中,假设任何电力供应商可以像往常一样根据古诺调整学习选择竞价,也可以在任意阶段改变其决策规则,如以其边际成本竞价或选择最高策略。仿真结果显示了一些丰富多彩的现象,表明决策规则的变化可以给市场带来多样性。因此,电力市场的规则设计者必须在市场运行前设计相应的规则,以降低市场的风险。
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