A New Sales Forecasting Method for Industrial Supply Chain

M. Zadeh
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

With the continuous innovation of computer technology, it can solve the problems of low accuracy, non-intelligence, and inability to process complex samples in the sales forecasting methods of industrial supply chains. This paper proposes a sales forecasting method for the industrial supply chain based on the Gaussian mixture model. By analyzing the characteristics of the original sales data of the industrial supply chain, the eigenvalue correlation ranking vector is generated. Then predict the parameters such as the number of clusters in the Gaussian mixture model. By comparing the accuracy of the prediction results, the recall rate and the F-value, the eigenvalues, and the number of clusters that can achieve better prediction results are determined. This paper compares the Gaussian mixture model with the artificial neural network model and the convolutional neural network model on the original sales data set of the same industrial supply chain. The experimental results show that, compared with the artificial neural network model and the convolutional neural network model, the method has better performance in all three indicators, and can better predict sales transactions.
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工业供应链销售预测新方法
随着计算机技术的不断创新,可以解决工业供应链销售预测方法中准确率低、非智能化、无法处理复杂样本等问题。提出了一种基于高斯混合模型的工业供应链销售预测方法。通过分析工业供应链原始销售数据的特征,生成特征值相关排序向量。然后对高斯混合模型中的簇数等参数进行预测。通过比较预测结果的准确率,确定召回率与f值、特征值以及能够获得较好预测结果的聚类数量。本文在同一产业供应链的原始销售数据集上,将高斯混合模型与人工神经网络模型和卷积神经网络模型进行了比较。实验结果表明,与人工神经网络模型和卷积神经网络模型相比,该方法在三个指标上都有更好的表现,可以更好地预测销售交易。
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