Solar Power Prediction in Different Forecasting Horizons Using Machine Learning and Time Series Techniques

Kesh Pun, Saurav M. S. Basnet, W. Jewell
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Solar power generation is highly intermittent, nonlinear, and variable in nature. The increase in penetration level of solar energy resources poses technical challenges. An accurate forecasting model is crucial to minimizing these technical issues. Therefore, choosing the right forecasting technique for the right forecasting horizon is vital. In this study, the performance analysis of machine learning and time series forecasting techniques for various forecasting horizons has been investigated. Its accuracy, root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) have been compared to other techniques.
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利用机器学习和时间序列技术在不同预测视野中的太阳能预测
太阳能发电本质上是高度间歇性、非线性和可变的。太阳能资源渗透水平的提高带来了技术挑战。准确的预测模型对于最小化这些技术问题至关重要。因此,为正确的预测范围选择正确的预测技术是至关重要的。在本研究中,研究了机器学习和时间序列预测技术在不同预测视野下的性能分析。并将其精度、均方根误差(RMSE)和平均绝对误差(MAE)与其他技术进行了比较。
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