Management Optimization of Cipanunjang-Cileunca Reservoir in Bandung Regency Using Discrete Markov Methods

M. Marselina, A. Sabar, Iin Pratama Sari
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

This research discusses about intake Cikalong as water resource infrastructure supplying water for PDAM Bandung City and PDAM Bandung Regency that depend on the operational of Cipanunjang Dam-Cileunca Dam, Plengan Hydropower, Lamajan Hydropower, Cikalong Hydropower and water from Cisangkuy River. Nowdays, capacity of PDAM Bandung city is 1800 L/sec and capacity of PDAM Bandung Regency is 500 L/sec. However, the amount of water that could be provided by PDAM Bandung City is 1400 L/sec while PDAM Bandung Regency is 200 L/sec. Aim: Optimization on upstream infrastructure is needed to make sure the quantity of water being supplied sufficient. Methodology and Result: There are some methods that can be used to fulfill that aim, on this research use Stochastic Markov Method. The optimization of the reservoir is achieved by the condition of the guideline track and the actual trajectory approaching 1, which means the absence of wasted water through the spillway but through the reservoir utility function for turbine demand, irrigation raw water and raw drinking water in the downstream. The comparison between trajectory and actual trajectory of Cipanunjang Reservoir is 0.861 while for optimization of Cileunca Reservoir is 0.827. Conclusion, significance and impact study: The correlation between the actual (historical) discharge and the Markov estimation discharge on the Cipanunjang-Cileunca Reservoir is closed to 1, so it can be show that the discharge estimation is conceptual because it corresponds to the actual condition (actual discharge).
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基于离散马尔可夫方法的万隆县慈坪庄-慈林加水库管理优化
本研究讨论了入口慈卡龙作为水资源基础设施,为PDAM万隆市和PDAM万隆县供水,这依赖于慈朗江-慈林卡大坝、普连干水电、拉玛坚水电、慈卡龙水电和慈桑圭河水的运行。目前,万隆市PDAM容量为1800升/秒,万隆县PDAM容量为500升/秒。但是,万隆市的供水能力为1400升/秒,万隆县的供水能力为200升/秒。目的:对上游基础设施进行优化,保证供水量充足。方法和结果:有一些方法可以用来实现这一目标,在本研究中使用随机马尔可夫方法。水库的优化是在指导轨迹和实际轨迹趋近于1的条件下实现的,即溢洪道没有浪费水,而是通过水库对下游水轮机需求、灌溉原水和饮用原水的效用函数实现的。三番江水库的轨迹与实际轨迹的对比值为0.861,七番卡水库的优化轨迹值为0.827。结论、意义及影响研究:三番戎—芝伦卡水库的实际(历史)流量与马尔可夫估算流量的相关性接近于1,表明该流量估算与实际情况(实际流量)相对应,是概念上的。
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