Collective Action and Intra-Group Conflict: An Experiment

IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Defence and Peace Economics Pub Date : 2023-11-10 DOI:10.1080/10242694.2023.2280336
Chizhe Cheng, Cary Deck, Wonjong Kim
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Abstract

ABSTRACTIn many situations, two rivals find themselves facing a common threat necessitating cooperation. Such alliances are uneasy as the parties anticipate eventually competing against each other in the future. Recent theoretical work shows that both standalone and joint contribution strategies, as well as a hybrid of the two, can emerge in equilibrium where the former strategy is characterized by one of the rivals contributing enough to eliminate the common threat, while the latter is characterized by rivals providing half the necessary effort to eliminate the common threat. Using a controlled laboratory experiment, we show that player behavior is best described by the hybrid strategy. However, none of these predictions closely describes the observed behavior, which is better described as following a proportionate rule.KEYWORDS: Blotto budgetsIntra-group conflictCollective actionAll-pay auctionLaboratory experimentsJEL CLASSIFICATION: C90D72D74 Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.Notes1. Evans-Cowley (Citation2005) provides a guide to using zoning ordinances to limit the impact of big box stores.2. See Sheremeta (Citation2018) for a general review of experimental results in group contests.3. Deck et al. (Citation2015) also considers endogenous alliance formation in a Tullock contest. In their setting, an opportunistic attacker observes the strategic decision to form an alliance or not of its potential targets. Theoretically, they show an alliance can increase the expected payoff of the defenders even as it increases the probability of a successful attack because it avoids an arms race between the potential targets. Behaviorally, Deck et al. (Citation2015) find that alliances do increase the expected payoff for defenders but do not increase the probability of a successful attack as defense investment does not drop as much as predicted when an alliance is formed.4. The ‘common threat’ is not a separate player in the game because it is not modeled as having a strategic decision.5. The total number of periods in the hour long sessions is based on the speed of play in a pilot session. Phase 1 involves twice as many periods as Phase 2 due to it being the primary focus of the experiment and to allow for learning in that environment.6. Given the distribution of allotments, the joint equilibrium is unique when b is less than 67.7. If b is in the interval (100, 200) then there is no Standalone equilibrium given the distribution of allotments.8. One observation in which a subject with an allotment of 91 contributed 91 is not shown in the figure due to the scale.9. Appendix B contains plots of individual level behavior in the first half of Phase 1, the second half of Phase 1, and Phase 2.10. One subject chose not to report being male or female. Of the others, 42% were male. For testing risk attitude and cognitive reflection, the sample was split as evenly as possible given the discrete nature of the responses.11. This strategy was identified empirically.12. Using session level observations accounts for the lack of independence between games within a session due to the random rematching protocol. We rely on the non-parametric sign test due to the limited number of sessions.13. The sign test p-values for comparisons between the observed success rate and that predicted when α=1,0.5,and0.373 are 0.0016, 0.0016, and 0.2059, respectively.14. It is worth noting that in Phase 2 only one subject contributes more than the amount necessary to meet the common goal and this is the same subject that frequently contributed more than the common goal in Phase 1.15. This strategy was identified empirically.Additional informationFundingThe work was supported by the University of Alabama.
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集体行动与群体内冲突:一个实验
在很多情况下,对手双方面临着共同的威胁,需要进行合作。这样的联盟是不稳定的,因为各方预计最终会在未来相互竞争。最近的理论研究表明,独立贡献战略和共同贡献战略,以及两者的混合,都可以出现在均衡中,其中前者战略的特征是竞争对手中的一个贡献足以消除共同威胁,而后者的特征是竞争对手提供消除共同威胁所需努力的一半。通过控制实验室实验,我们发现混合策略最能描述玩家的行为。然而,这些预测都不能很好地描述观察到的行为,最好是按照比例规则来描述。关键词:Blotto预算小组冲突集体行动全付拍卖实验室实验分类:C90D72D74披露声明作者未报告潜在利益冲突。Evans-Cowley (Citation2005)提供了使用分区条例来限制大型商店影响的指南。参见Sheremeta (Citation2018)对小组竞赛实验结果的总体回顾。Deck等人(Citation2015)也考虑了Tullock竞赛中的内生联盟形成。在这种情况下,机会主义攻击者观察与潜在目标结盟或不结盟的战略决策。从理论上讲,它们表明联盟可以增加防御方的预期收益,即使它增加了成功攻击的概率,因为它避免了潜在目标之间的军备竞赛。从行为上看,Deck等人(Citation2015)发现联盟确实增加了防御者的预期收益,但并没有增加成功攻击的概率,因为当联盟形成时,防御投资并没有像预期的那样下降。“共同威胁”在游戏中并不是一个独立的玩家,因为它没有被建模为具有战略决策。在一个小时的游戏过程中,游戏的总时长是基于试玩阶段的游戏速度。第一阶段的时间是第二阶段的两倍,因为它是实验的主要焦点,并且允许在那个环境中学习。给定分配分配,当b小于67.7时,联合平衡是唯一的。如果b在区间(100,200)内,则给定分配的分配,不存在独立均衡。由于量表的原因,其中一个分配91的受试者贡献91的观察结果没有显示在图中。附录B包含了第1阶段前半段、第1阶段后半段和第2.10阶段的个体层面行为图。一名受试者选择不报告自己是男性还是女性。在其他人中,42%是男性。为了测试风险态度和认知反射,考虑到反应的离散性,样本被尽可能均匀地分开。这一策略是根据经验确定的。使用会话级别观察可以解释由于随机重新匹配协议而导致的会话中游戏之间缺乏独立性。由于会话数量有限,我们依赖于非参数符号检验。当α=1,0.5和0.373时,观察到的成功率与预测的成功率之间的比较的符号检验p值分别为0.0016,0.0016和0.2059。值得注意的是,在阶段2中,只有一个受试者的贡献超过了实现共同目标所需的金额,而在阶段1.15中,这个受试者的贡献经常超过共同目标。这一策略是由经验确定的。这项工作得到了阿拉巴马大学的支持。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
18.80%
发文量
45
期刊介绍: Defence and Peace Economics embraces all aspects of the economics of defence, disarmament, conversion and peace. Examples include the study of alliances and burden-sharing; military spending in developed and developing nations; arms races; terrorism; country surveys; the impact of disarmament on employment and unemployment; the prospects for conversion and the role of public policy in assisting the transition; the costs and benefits of arms control regimes; the arms trade; economic sanctions; the role of the United Nations.
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