Rich and complex dynamics of a time-switched differential equation model for wild mosquito population suppression with Ricker-type density-dependent survival probability
{"title":"Rich and complex dynamics of a time-switched differential equation model for wild mosquito population suppression with Ricker-type density-dependent survival probability","authors":"Zhongcai Zhu, Xue He","doi":"10.3934/math.20231467","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<abstract><p>Dengue presents over 390 million cases worldwide yearly. Releasing <italic>Wolbachia</italic>-infected male mosquitoes to suppress wild mosquitoes via cytoplasmic incompatibility has proven to be a promising method for combating the disease. As cytoplasmic incompatibility causes early developmental arrest of the embryo during the larval stage, we introduce the Ricker-type survival probability to assess the resulting effects. For periodic and impulsive release strategies, our model switches between two ordinary differential equations. Owing to a Poincaré map and rigorous dynamical analyses, we give thresholds $ T^*, c^* $ and $ c^{**} (&gt;c^*) $ for the release period $ T $ and the release amount $ c $. Then, we assume $ c &gt; c^* $ and prove that our model admits a globally asymptotically stable periodic solution, provided $ T &gt; T^* $, and it admits at most two periodic solutions when $ T &lt; T^* $. Moreover, for the latter case, we assert that the origin is globally asymptotically stable if $ c\\ge c^{**} $, and there exist two positive numbers such that whenever there is a periodic solution, it must initiate in an interval composed of the aforementioned two numbers, once $ c^* &lt; c &lt; c^{**} $. We also offer numerical examples to support the results. Finally, a brief discussion is given to evoke deeper insights into the Ricker-type model and to present our next research directions.</p></abstract>","PeriodicalId":48562,"journal":{"name":"AIMS Mathematics","volume":"19 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"AIMS Mathematics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3934/math.20231467","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Dengue presents over 390 million cases worldwide yearly. Releasing Wolbachia-infected male mosquitoes to suppress wild mosquitoes via cytoplasmic incompatibility has proven to be a promising method for combating the disease. As cytoplasmic incompatibility causes early developmental arrest of the embryo during the larval stage, we introduce the Ricker-type survival probability to assess the resulting effects. For periodic and impulsive release strategies, our model switches between two ordinary differential equations. Owing to a Poincaré map and rigorous dynamical analyses, we give thresholds $ T^*, c^* $ and $ c^{**} (>c^*) $ for the release period $ T $ and the release amount $ c $. Then, we assume $ c > c^* $ and prove that our model admits a globally asymptotically stable periodic solution, provided $ T > T^* $, and it admits at most two periodic solutions when $ T < T^* $. Moreover, for the latter case, we assert that the origin is globally asymptotically stable if $ c\ge c^{**} $, and there exist two positive numbers such that whenever there is a periodic solution, it must initiate in an interval composed of the aforementioned two numbers, once $ c^* < c < c^{**} $. We also offer numerical examples to support the results. Finally, a brief discussion is given to evoke deeper insights into the Ricker-type model and to present our next research directions.
期刊介绍:
AIMS Mathematics is an international Open Access journal devoted to publishing peer-reviewed, high quality, original papers in all fields of mathematics. We publish the following article types: original research articles, reviews, editorials, letters, and conference reports.