Trade and inclusive economic growth: China and Latin America (2004-2021)

Harold D. Angulo-Bustinza, Jenny Paola Lis-Gutiérrez
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Abstract

China has consolidated itself as a global economic power, and its growth has been remarkable. China’s economic influence in Latin America has significantly increased, and the country has become one of the region’s most important and relevant trade partners. Therefore, the trade relations between Latin America and China are considered “strategic.” In this context, the purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between international trade with China and inclusive economic growth in Latin America from 2004 to 2021, using data from 13 countries in the region (Uruguay, Peru, Paraguay, Panama, Mexico, El Salvador, Ecuador, Costa Rica, Colombia, Chile, Brazil, Bolivia, and Argentina). Our research is quantitative in nature, with a non-experimental design and a correlational scope. The econometric model used panel data and the Newey-West estimator to account for first-order autocorrelation in the error. The results indicate a statistically significant and negative relationship between Latin American exports to China, which has a 10% impact on inclusive economic growth. Similarly, imports from China to Latin America show a statistically significant and negative relationship of 5% with inclusive economic growth. However, no discernible evidence was found to support a relationship between China’s foreign direct investment (FDI) in Latin American countries and inclusive economic growth.
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贸易与包容性经济增长:中国与拉丁美洲(2004-2021)
中国已经巩固了自己作为全球经济大国的地位,其经济增长令人瞩目。中国在拉美的经济影响力显著增强,已成为该地区最重要、最重要的贸易伙伴之一。因此,拉美与中国的贸易关系被认为是“战略性的”。在此背景下,本研究的目的是分析2004年至2021年与中国的国际贸易与拉丁美洲包容性经济增长之间的关系,使用该地区13个国家(乌拉圭、秘鲁、巴拉圭、巴拿马、墨西哥、萨尔瓦多、厄瓜多尔、哥斯达黎加、哥伦比亚、智利、巴西、玻利维亚和阿根廷)的数据。我们的研究本质上是定量的,具有非实验设计和相关范围。计量经济模型使用面板数据和new - west估计器来解释误差中的一阶自相关。结果表明,拉美对华出口呈显著负相关,对包容性经济增长有10%的影响。同样,从中国到拉丁美洲的进口与包容性经济增长呈统计学显著负相关,为5%。然而,没有明显的证据支持中国在拉美国家的对外直接投资(FDI)与包容性经济增长之间的关系。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
21
审稿时长
12 weeks
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