Long-term and short-term rainfall forecasting using deep neural network optimized with flamingo search optimization algorithm

IF 1.7 4区 计算机科学 Q3 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems Pub Date : 2023-11-10 DOI:10.3233/jifs-235798
S. Vidya, Veeraraghavan Jagannathan, T. Guhan, Jogendra Kumar
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Abstract

Rainfall forecasting is essential because heavy and irregular rainfall creates many impacts like destruction of crops and farms. Here, the occurrence of rainfall is highly related to atmospheric parameters. Thus, a better forecasting model is essential for an early warning that can minimize risks and manage the agricultural farms in a better way. In this manuscript, Deep Neural Network (DNN) optimized with Flamingo Search Optimization Algorithm (FSOA) is proposed for Long-term and Short-term Rainfall forecasting. Here, the rainfall data is obtained from the standard dataset as Sudheerachary India Rainfall Analysis (IRA). Moreover, the Morphological filtering and Extended Empirical wavelet transformation (MFEEWT) approach is utilized for pre-processing process. Also, the deep neural network is utilized for performing rainfall prediction and classification. Additionally, the parameters of the DNN model is optimizing by Flamingo Search Optimization Algorithm. Finally, the proposed MFEEWT-DNN- FSOA approach has effectively predict the rainfall in different locations around India. The proposed model is implemented in Python tool and the performance metrics are calculated. The proposed MFEEWT-DNN- FSOA approach has achieved 25%, 26%, 25.5% high accuracy and 35.8%, 24.7%, 15.9% lower error rate for forecasting rainfall in Cannur at Kerala than the existing Map-Reduce based Exponential Smoothing Technology for rainfall prediction (MR-EST-RP), modular artificial neural networks with support vector regression for rainfall prediction (MANN-SVR-RP), and biogeography-based extreme learning machine (BBO-ELM) (BBO-ELM-RP) methods respectively.
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利用火烈鸟搜索优化算法优化的深度神经网络进行长期和短期降雨预报
降雨预报是必不可少的,因为强降雨和不规则降雨会造成许多影响,比如破坏庄稼和农场。在这里,降雨的发生与大气参数高度相关。因此,一个更好的预测模型对于早期预警至关重要,可以最大限度地降低风险并更好地管理农场。本文提出了基于火烈鸟搜索优化算法(FSOA)优化的深度神经网络(DNN)用于长期和短期降雨预报。这里的降雨数据来自Sudheerachary India rainfall Analysis (IRA)的标准数据集。利用形态滤波和扩展经验小波变换(MFEEWT)方法进行预处理。同时,利用深度神经网络进行降雨预测和分类。此外,采用火烈鸟搜索优化算法对DNN模型的参数进行优化。最后,提出的MFEEWT-DNN- FSOA方法有效地预测了印度不同地点的降雨量。在Python工具中实现了所提出的模型,并计算了性能指标。MFEEWT-DNN- FSOA预测喀拉拉邦卡纳尔邦降雨的准确率分别比现有的基于Map-Reduce的指数平滑预测技术(MR-EST-RP)、支持向量回归的模块化人工神经网络(MANN-SVR-RP)和基于生物地理的极限学习机(BBO-ELM- rp)方法提高了25%、26%、25.5%,错误率分别降低了35.8%、24.7%、15.9%。
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来源期刊
Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems
Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems 工程技术-计算机:人工智能
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
10.00%
发文量
965
审稿时长
5.1 months
期刊介绍: The purpose of the Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems: Applications in Engineering and Technology is to foster advancements of knowledge and help disseminate results concerning recent applications and case studies in the areas of fuzzy logic, intelligent systems, and web-based applications among working professionals and professionals in education and research, covering a broad cross-section of technical disciplines.
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