Dissertation Abstract: Taming Exact Inference in Temporal Probabilistic Relational Models

Marcel Gehrke
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Abstract

Abstract Processes in our world are of a temporal probabilistic relational nature. An epidemic is an example of such a process. This dissertation abstract uses the scenario of an epidemic to illustrate the lifted dynamic junction tree algorithm (LDJT), which is a temporal probabilistic relational inference algorithm. More specifically, we argue that existing propositional temporal probabilistic inference algorithms are not suited to model an epidemic, i.e., without accounting for the relational part, and present how LDJT uses the relational aspect. Additionally, we illustrate how LDJT preserves groups of indistinguishable objects over time and have a look at LDJT from a theoretical side.
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论文摘要:时间概率关系模型中的精确推理
我们世界中的过程具有时间概率关系性质。流行病就是这种过程的一个例子。摘要以传染病为例,介绍了一种时间概率关联推理算法——提升动态连接树算法(LDJT)。更具体地说,我们认为现有的命题时间概率推理算法不适合建模流行病,即不考虑关系部分,并介绍了LDJT如何使用关系方面。此外,我们说明了LDJT如何随着时间的推移保留不可区分的对象组,并从理论方面看LDJT。
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