Microfinance and Poverty Eradication in the North African Countries: A Heterogeneous Panel Causality Analysis

Marwa A. Elsherif
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Abstract

Microfinance is considered as an effective tool for poverty reduction and socioeconomic development. This paper examines the impact of microfinance on poverty eradication by analyzing the causal links between the intensity of microfinance and poverty estimates. It employs heterogeneous panel causality techniques on a sample of North African countries over the period 1990-2021. Furthermore, the paper studies the impact of other control variables on poverty namely: arable land; agricultural value added; inflation; youth population; trade openness; school expenditure; health expenditure; rural population and per capita GDP growth rate. Parameters are measured using the fixed-effect estimation. Results reveal that, access to microfinance through the increase in the number of active borrowers along with the average loan size reduce poverty significantly in the sample countries as measured by the headcount ratios and poverty gap. Policymakers and regulators should ensure that microfinance is targeted at more efficient and equitable lending which will create more opportunities, thus increasing income, economic empowerment and reducing poverty.
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北非国家的小额信贷与消除贫困:异质性面板因果分析
小额信贷被认为是减少贫困和社会经济发展的有效工具。本文通过分析小额信贷强度与贫困估计之间的因果关系,考察了小额信贷对消除贫困的影响。它对1990年至2021年期间北非国家的样本采用了异质性面板因果关系技术。此外,本文还研究了其他控制变量对贫困的影响,即可耕地;农业增加值;通货膨胀;青年人口;贸易开放;学校的开支;卫生支出;农村人口和人均国内生产总值增长率。参数测量采用固定效应估计。结果表明,通过增加活跃借款人的数量以及平均贷款规模来获得小额信贷,可以通过人数比率和贫困差距来衡量样本国家的贫困程度。决策者和监管者应确保小额信贷的目标是更有效和公平的贷款,这将创造更多的机会,从而增加收入、增强经济权能和减少贫困。
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