The Impact of Market Power, Credit Risk, and Economic Environment on the Stability of the Arab Banking Sector

Rami Obeid
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Abstract

The paper presents an investigation of the dialectical relationship between banking concentration and the stability of the banking sector, using data from twelve Arab countries for the period 2014-2019 in the framework of a dynamic panel data model. The findings show that the banking sector in the Arab countries follows the "Concentration-Stability" hypothesis. That is, banking concentration has a significant positive impact on bank stability. The paper explains that this result is due to two main reasons. The first reason is that large banks tend to manage their assets and capital more efficiently compared to smaller banks, while the second reason is that systemically important banks (DSIBs) are subject to additional quantitative and qualitative regulatory requirements, especially after the global financial crisis in 2008. The paper also reveals that economic growth has a significant positive effect on bank stability, while credit risk has a significant negative impact on bank stability. The paper suggests encouraging the merger of small banks, as this leads to enhancing their operational efficiency, strengthening their financial positions, and supporting their ability to absorb potential shocks.
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市场力量、信用风险和经济环境对阿拉伯银行业稳定性的影响
本文利用2014-2019年12个阿拉伯国家的动态面板数据模型框架,对银行业集中度与银行业稳定性之间的辩证关系进行了调查。研究结果表明,阿拉伯国家的银行业遵循“集中-稳定”规律。假设。即银行业集中度对银行稳定性有显著的正向影响。本文解释了这一结果是由于两个主要原因。第一个原因是,与小银行相比,大银行倾向于更有效地管理其资产和资本,而第二个原因是,系统重要性银行(dsib)受到额外的定量和定性监管要求,特别是在2008年全球金融危机之后。经济增长对银行稳定性有显著的正向影响,信贷风险对银行稳定性有显著的负向影响。本文建议鼓励小银行合并,因为这将提高它们的经营效率,加强它们的财务状况,并支持它们吸收潜在冲击的能力。
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