Treatment and prognosis of colorectal cancer with synchronous peritoneal metastases: 11-year single institute experience

Xiusen Qin, Zifeng Yang, Yang Li, Jian Luo, Hui Wang, Huaiming Wang
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Abstract

Background Treatment of colorectal cancer (CRC) with synchronous peritoneal metastases (SPM) is controversial, and its prognosis remains poor. Here, we analysed the association between treatment strategies and the outcomes of patients with colorectal SPM and devised a nomogram to improve their prognosis prediction. Methods We retrospectively analysed patients with colorectal SPM treated at The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University from June 2007 to June 2018. The Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank tests was used to compare the overall survival (OS) among patients undergoing different therapeutic regimens. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to identify the prognostic factors. After variable selection, a nomogram was developed to predict the OS of patients with colorectal SPM. Results A total of 371 patients with colorectal SPM were eligible for this study. The median OS of all patients was 15.0 months (95% CI, 13.1 to 16.9), with a 3-year and 5-year OS rate of 23.7% and 16.9%, respectively. Patients who underwent complete cytoreductive surgery (CC0–1) had a better median OS of 49 months (p<0.001). Cox multivariate analysis showed that age >65 years; cancer antigen 125 level >35 U/mL; peritoneal carcinomatosis index >16 scores; and undergoing cytoreductive surgery, chemotherapy and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors for OS. The c-index of the prognostic nomogram was 0.747 (95% CI, 0.474 to 1.020). Conclusions Our study suggests that patients with colorectal SPM who receive comprehensive treatment might achieve better prognoses. The prognostic nomogram demonstrated good predictive performance for patients with colorectal SPM.
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结直肠癌伴同步腹膜转移的治疗与预后:11年单院经验
背景结直肠癌(CRC)伴同步腹膜转移(SPM)的治疗存在争议,其预后仍然较差。在这里,我们分析了治疗策略与结直肠SPM患者预后之间的关系,并设计了一个nomogram来改善他们的预后预测。方法回顾性分析2007年6月至2018年6月中山大学附属第六医院收治的结直肠SPM患者。采用Kaplan-Meier法和log-rank检验比较不同治疗方案患者的总生存期(OS)。采用Cox比例风险回归分析确定影响预后的因素。在变量选择后,开发了一个nomogram来预测结直肠SPM患者的OS。结果共有371例结直肠SPM患者符合本研究的条件。所有患者的中位OS为15.0个月(95% CI, 13.1 ~ 16.9), 3年和5年OS率分别为23.7%和16.9%。接受完全细胞减少手术(CC0-1)的患者的中位OS较好,为49个月(p<0.001)。Cox多因素分析显示:年龄>65岁;癌抗原125水平35 U/mL;腹膜癌指数>16分;接受细胞减缩手术、化疗和腹腔热化疗是OS的独立预后因素。预后nomogram c-index为0.747 (95% CI, 0.474 ~ 1.020)。结论我们的研究表明,接受综合治疗的结直肠SPM患者可能获得更好的预后。预后图显示对结直肠SPM患者有良好的预测效果。
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