Estimating Vaccine-Preventable COVID-19 Deaths Among Adults Under Counterfactual Vaccination Scenarios in The United States: A Modeling Study Using Observational Data
Ming Zhong, Tamara Glazer, Meghana Kshirsagar, Richard Johnston, Rahul Dodhia, Allen Kim, Divya Michael, Santiago Salcido, Sameer Nair-Desai, Thomas C. Tsai, Stefanie Friedhoff, William B Weeks, Juan M. Lavista
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Abstract
Introduction: In early 2021, effective SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) vaccines became available in the United States; by mid-April 2021, vaccine availability outstripped demand, daily vaccination rates peaked, and COVID-19 vaccines were found highly effective in adult populations. Accurate estimates of the number of vaccine-preventable deaths had higher vaccination rates been attained could have helped local policymakers and possibly persuaded more to get vaccinated.
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