The Effect of Monetary Variable Shocks on Indonesian Portfolio Investment

Muhammad Khoirul Fuddin, Firdha Aksari Anindyntha
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Abstract

Monetary variables can affect portfolio investment in the short or long term. The previous studies rarely discuss the effects of monetary variables in the long and short term on portfolio investment. This study looks at monetary indicators that affect investment portfolios in Indonesia. The methodology used in this research is to use the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to see the response of several variables in the short and long term. The findings suggest that monetary policy should pay special attention to Indonesia's money supply (M2) and savings to influence portfolio investment in the short term. The monetary policy transmission mechanism can use the money and expectation channels to optimize monetary variables to control investment. Meanwhile, in the long run, monetary policy portfolio investment control needs to pay attention to interest rates and savings and adjust to the set inflation target, which can be used in the interest rate channel.JEL Classification: E21, E22, E43, E51, E52 How to Cite:Fuddin, M. K., & Anindyntha, F. A., (2023). The Effect of Monetary Variable Shocks on Indonesian Portofolio Invesment. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(2), 307-326. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i2.31525.
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货币变量冲击对印尼证券投资的影响
货币变量可以在短期或长期影响证券投资。以往的研究很少讨论长期和短期货币变量对证券投资的影响。本研究着眼于影响印尼投资组合的货币指标。本研究使用的方法是使用向量误差修正模型(VECM)来观察几个变量在短期和长期的响应。研究结果表明,货币政策应特别关注印尼的货币供应量(M2)和储蓄,以在短期内影响证券投资。货币政策传导机制可以通过货币和预期渠道优化货币变量来调控投资。同时,从长期来看,货币政策组合投资控制需要关注利率和储蓄,并根据设定的通胀目标进行调整,可以在利率通道中使用。JEL分类:E21, E22, E43, E51, E52如何引用:Fuddin, m.k, &[A] .中国科学院学报,(2023)。货币变量冲击对印尼证券投资的影响。意义[j] .经济研究,12(2),307-326。https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i2.31525。
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审稿时长
8 weeks
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