Learning-assisted intelligent risk assessment of highway project investment

IF 0.5 Q4 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY International Journal of Computing Science and Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1504/ijcsm.2023.130691
Hongwei Liu, Zihao Zhang
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Highway project has the characteristics of large investment scale and high investment risk. Aiming at the problem of investment risk management, this paper takes 15 highway investment projects in recent ten years as the research object, and establishes an investment risk index system including 12 first-class indexes and 30 second-class indexes. The hierarchical weight model of highway engineering investment risk assessment is proposed. The intelligent evaluation of highway engineering investment risk by extreme learning machine and broad learning system algorithm is discussed. The comparative experimental results show that the improved intelligent evaluation model can evaluate and predict the investment risk of highway engineering projects more effectively. The R-square value of the improved intelligent evaluation model is increased by 0.35, and the accuracy is greatly improved. It can provide decision support for highway engineering project investment risk management.
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基于学习辅助的公路项目投资智能风险评估
公路项目具有投资规模大、投资风险高的特点。针对投资风险管理问题,本文以近十年来15个公路投资项目为研究对象,建立了包含12个一级指标和30个二级指标的投资风险指标体系。提出了公路工程投资风险评价的层次权重模型。探讨了应用极限学习机和广义学习系统算法对公路工程投资风险进行智能评估的方法。对比实验结果表明,改进后的智能评价模型能够更有效地对公路工程项目投资风险进行评价和预测。改进后的智能评价模型的r方值提高了0.35,精度大大提高。为公路工程项目投资风险管理提供决策支持。
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CiteScore
1.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
37
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