The Nexus Between Military Spending and Income Inequality in Brics Nations

Udimal Thomas, Zwane Talent, Biyase Mduduzi, Eita Hinaunye
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Abstract

ABSTRACT: There are contradicting views regarding the casual nexus between a country's military spending and its nation's income inequality. Military spending is a critical component of government budget and can simply crowd out transfer payments, needed to improve income inequality. However, these payments can also stimulate a demand that can enhance the income prospects of the low-income earners. So, the association between military spending and income inequality is a vital question. The aim of this study is to examine the relationship between military spending and income inequality for BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa). We used panel data extracted from different sources such as World Bank's World Development Indicators and Penn World Tables. This is the first study that disaggregate the data and compute the results for the full sample (all BRICS countries taken together) and for sub-samples for countries with military expenditure of about 2% of GDP (India, china and Russia) and countries with military expenditure of less than 1% of GDP (that is, South Africa and Brazil). Thus, to unravel the influence of military spending on income inequality, pool mean group (PMG) or panel autoregressive distributed lag (PARDL) approach was applied for the period from 1990–2017 for BRICS nations. Overall, the empirical result for the pooled sample established an inverse relationship between military expenditure and income inequality. A percentage change in military expenditure result in income inequality reduction within the BRICS community. The estimated coefficient of GDP per capita, show that a percentage increase in GDP per capita in the long run will lead to about -0.209756 reduction in the level of income inequality and statistically significant at 1% level. When data was disaggregated to reflect the BRICS countries whose military expenditure was about 2% of the national budget (i.e. Russia, China and India), the study found that military expenditure had a negative influence on income inequality in the long run equation. Based on the outcome of this empirical work, we recommend for policy makers should focus more on the policies which can improve economic activities within the BRICS nations and ultimately reduce income inequality.
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金砖国家军费开支与收入不平等之间的关系
摘要:一个国家的军费开支与其收入不平等之间存在着相互矛盾的关系。军费开支是政府预算的重要组成部分,可能会挤掉改善收入不平等所需要的转移支付。然而,这些支付也可以刺激需求,从而提高低收入者的收入前景。因此,军费开支和收入不平等之间的关系是一个至关重要的问题。本研究的目的是研究金砖国家(巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非)军费开支与收入不平等之间的关系。我们使用了从不同来源提取的面板数据,如世界银行的世界发展指标和宾夕法尼亚大学的世界表。这是第一次将数据分解并计算整个样本(所有金砖国家加在一起)的结果,以及军费开支占GDP的2%左右的国家(印度、中国和俄罗斯)和军费开支占GDP的不到1%的国家(即南非和巴西)的子样本。因此,为了揭示军费开支对收入不平等的影响,我们在1990年至2017年期间对金砖国家采用了池均值组(PMG)或面板自回归分布滞后(PARDL)方法。总体而言,合并样本的实证结果建立了军费支出与收入不平等之间的反比关系。军费开支的百分比变化导致金砖国家社区内收入不平等的减少。估算的人均GDP系数表明,从长期来看,人均GDP每增加一个百分点,收入不平等水平将降低约-0.209756,在1%的水平上具有统计学意义。当数据被分解以反映军费开支约占国家预算2%的金砖国家(即俄罗斯、中国和印度)时,研究发现,从长期来看,军费开支对收入不平等有负面影响。基于这一实证工作的结果,我们建议政策制定者应该更多地关注能够改善金砖国家内部经济活动并最终减少收入不平等的政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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