Analyzing a SEIR-Type mathematical model of SARS-COVID-19 using piecewise fractional order operators

Abstract

Recently, the area devoted to mathematical epidemiology has attracted much attention. Mathematical formulations have served as models for various infectious diseases. In this regard, mathematical models have also been used to study COVID-19, a threatening disease in present time. This research work is devoted to consider a SEIR (susceptible-exposed-infectious-removed) type mathematical model for investigating COVID-19 alongside a new scenario of fractional calculus. We consider piece-wise fractional order derivatives to investigate the proposed model for qualitative and computational analysis. The results related to the qualitative analysis are studied via using the tools of fixed point approach. In addition, the computational analysis is performed due to a significance of simulation to understand the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 infection in the community. In addition, a numerical scheme based on Newton's polynomials is established to simulate the approximate solutions of the proposed model by using various fractional orders. Additionally, some real data results are also shown in comparison to the numerical results.