Economic policy uncertainty and Indian banking stability: the mediating role of regulation and supervision

IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance Pub Date : 2023-10-19 DOI:10.1108/jfrc-03-2023-0038
Aamir Aijaz Syed
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Abstract

Purpose The purpose of this study is to explore how the unprecedented rise in the economic policy uncertainty influence Indian banking sector stability. The unprecedented rise in the economic policy uncertainty during the recent pandemic has garnered the attention of policymakers to investigate its consequences on different sectors of the economy. Design/methodology/approach In this quest, the present study uses system generalized method of moments and other econometric tools to examine the influence of economic policy uncertainty on the Indian banking sector, covering the time frame from 2000 to 2022. In addition, the current study also investigates the mediating role of regulation and supervision in the nexus of economic policy uncertainty and the Indian banking sector stability. Findings The empirical outcome reveals that economic policy uncertainty negatively influences banking stability. However, when economic policy uncertainty interacts with stringent banking regulations, private monitoring and supervisions, it assists in diversifying the negative impact of economic policy uncertainty on the Indian banking sector stability. Originality/value To the best of the author’s knowledge, the study is an original work and provides robust estimates that will assist policymakers in understanding the influence of policy uncertainty on the banking stability. Moreover, the study also helps in understanding the role of supervision and regulation in mitigating the negative consequences of policy uncertainty on the banking stability.
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经济政策不确定性与印度银行业稳定性:监管的中介作用
本研究的目的是探讨经济政策不确定性的空前上升如何影响印度银行业的稳定性。在最近的大流行期间,经济政策的不确定性空前增加,这引起了政策制定者的注意,以调查其对不同经济部门的影响。在这个探索中,本研究使用系统广义矩法和其他计量经济学工具来检查经济政策不确定性对印度银行业的影响,涵盖2000年至2022年的时间框架。此外,本研究还探讨了监管在经济政策不确定性和印度银行业稳定性之间的中介作用。实证结果表明,经济政策的不确定性对银行稳定性有负向影响。然而,当经济政策的不确定性与严格的银行监管、私人监督和监督相互作用时,它有助于分散经济政策不确定性对印度银行业稳定性的负面影响。据作者所知,该研究是一项原创工作,并提供了强有力的估计,将有助于政策制定者理解政策不确定性对银行业稳定性的影响。此外,该研究还有助于理解监管在减轻政策不确定性对银行稳定性的负面影响方面的作用。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.60
自引率
11.10%
发文量
35
期刊介绍: Since its inception in 1992, the Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance has provided an authoritative and scholarly platform for international research in financial regulation and compliance. The journal is at the intersection between academic research and the practice of financial regulation, with distinguished past authors including senior regulators, central bankers and even a Prime Minister. Financial crises, predatory practices, internationalization and integration, the increased use of technology and financial innovation are just some of the changes and issues that contemporary financial regulators are grappling with. These challenges and changes hold profound implications for regulation and compliance, ranging from macro-prudential to consumer protection policies. The journal seeks to illuminate these issues, is pluralistic in approach and invites scholarly papers using any appropriate methodology. Accordingly, the journal welcomes submissions from finance, law, economics and interdisciplinary perspectives. A broad spectrum of research styles, sources of information and topics (e.g. banking laws and regulations, stock market and cross border regulation, risk assessment and management, training and competence, competition law, case law, compliance and regulatory updates and guidelines) are appropriate. All submissions are double-blind refereed and judged on academic rigour, originality, quality of exposition and relevance to policy and practice. Once accepted, individual articles are typeset, proofed and published online as the Version of Record within an average of 32 days, so that articles can be downloaded and cited earlier.
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