Can Central Banks Be Heard Over the Sound of Gunfire?

IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Financial Research Pub Date : 2023-11-05 DOI:10.1111/jfir.12358
Ge Gao, Alex Nikolsko‐Rzhevskyy, Oleksandr Talavera
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Abstract

Abstract In this study, we examined the effectiveness of central bank communications during times of significant adverse shocks. Specifically, we examined how the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) regulated foreign exchange (FX) markets during the Russo‐Ukrainian War in 2022. Data collected from both the black and authorized FX markets suggested that the content of the NBU's announcements significantly impacted FX market agents. Announcements aimed at maintaining a fixed (floating) FX rate prompted an increase (decrease) in the black market premium in cash transactions. Moreover, the NBU's announcements influenced the sale side of foreign currency more than any other aspect, an area where the black market FX traders held near monopolistic power.
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各国央行的声音能盖过枪炮声吗?
在本研究中,我们考察了央行在重大不利冲击时期沟通的有效性。具体来说,我们研究了乌克兰国家银行(NBU)在2022年俄乌战争期间如何监管外汇(FX)市场。从黑市和授权外汇市场收集的数据表明,NBU公告的内容对外汇市场代理商产生了重大影响。旨在维持固定(浮动)汇率的公告促使黑市现金交易溢价上升(下降)。此外,NBU的公告对外汇销售方面的影响比其他任何方面都大,而在这个领域,黑市外汇交易员几乎占据了垄断地位。
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来源期刊
Journal of Financial Research
Journal of Financial Research BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
0.00%
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0
期刊介绍: The Journal of Financial Research(JFR) is a quarterly academic journal sponsored by the Southern Finance Association (SFA) and the Southwestern Finance Association (SWFA). It has been continuously published since 1978 and focuses on the publication of original scholarly research in various areas of finance such as investment and portfolio management, capital markets and institutions, corporate finance, corporate governance, and capital investment. The JFR, also known as the Journal of Financial Research, provides a platform for researchers to contribute to the advancement of knowledge in the field of finance.
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