Wind power forecasting based on SCINet, reversible instance normalization, and knowledge distillation

IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.1063/5.0166061
Mingju Gong, Wenxiang Li, Changcheng Yan, Yan Liu, Sheng Li, Zhixuan Zhao, Wei Xu
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Abstract

Wind energy plays a crucial role as a clean energy source in the electricity system. The unpredictability of wind power makes it more challenging to put into use in comparison to thermal power generation. Accurate wind power prediction algorithms are of great importance for allocation and deployment of wind power. In this paper, a novel time-series forecasting model, SCINet, is used for short-term wind power forecasting and achieves high forecasting accuracy. Furthermore, the addition of reversible instance normalization (RevIN) to SCINet effectively alleviates the shift problem that arises in time series forecasting tasks. This enhancement further improves the model's forecasting ability. Finally, this paper uses knowledge distillation to get a small model that could speed up the computing and save memory resources. The source code is available at https://github.com/raspnew/WPF.git.
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基于SCINet、可逆实例归一化和知识蒸馏的风电预测
风能作为一种清洁能源在电力系统中起着至关重要的作用。与火力发电相比,风力发电的不可预测性使其投入使用更具挑战性。准确的风电功率预测算法对风电的配置和部署具有重要意义。本文将一种新颖的时间序列预测模型SCINet用于风电短期预测,取得了较高的预测精度。此外,在SCINet中加入可逆实例归一化(RevIN),有效地缓解了时间序列预测任务中出现的移位问题。这种增强进一步提高了模型的预测能力。最后,利用知识精馏的方法得到了一个既能加快计算速度又能节省内存资源的小型模型。源代码可从https://github.com/raspnew/WPF.git获得。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy
Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy ENERGY & FUELS-ENERGY & FUELS
CiteScore
4.30
自引率
12.00%
发文量
122
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: The Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy (JRSE) is an interdisciplinary, peer-reviewed journal covering all areas of renewable and sustainable energy relevant to the physical science and engineering communities. The interdisciplinary approach of the publication ensures that the editors draw from researchers worldwide in a diverse range of fields. Topics covered include: Renewable energy economics and policy Renewable energy resource assessment Solar energy: photovoltaics, solar thermal energy, solar energy for fuels Wind energy: wind farms, rotors and blades, on- and offshore wind conditions, aerodynamics, fluid dynamics Bioenergy: biofuels, biomass conversion, artificial photosynthesis Distributed energy generation: rooftop PV, distributed fuel cells, distributed wind, micro-hydrogen power generation Power distribution & systems modeling: power electronics and controls, smart grid Energy efficient buildings: smart windows, PV, wind, power management Energy conversion: flexoelectric, piezoelectric, thermoelectric, other technologies Energy storage: batteries, supercapacitors, hydrogen storage, other fuels Fuel cells: proton exchange membrane cells, solid oxide cells, hybrid fuel cells, other Marine and hydroelectric energy: dams, tides, waves, other Transportation: alternative vehicle technologies, plug-in technologies, other Geothermal energy
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