Complex thinking in the history of economic thought: aspects of economic complexity from ancient times to modernity, with the case of evolutionary-institutional economics and with policy implications

Q3 Social Sciences International Journal of Public Policy Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1504/ijpp.2023.133612
Wolfram Elsner
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Abstract

We highlight a number of examples of complex thinking from ancient times to the current edge. We refer the earlier complexity perspectives to the cutting-edge understanding of complex adaptive (economic) systems. This illustrates that simplistic (neoclassical) equilibrium thinking is a big exemption rather than the 'normal' in HET. Since the 1980s, the mathematical, statistical, data, and computational resources have been fully developed and in fact successfully combined to finally demonstrate that complexity economics is the way of doing realistic and scientific economics, in contrast to reductionist and simplistic equilibrium modelling. We illustrate the potential of such scientific real-world economics with an example from evolutionary-institutional economics, and we consider modern policy implications of such complex economic thinking.
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经济思想史上的复杂思维:从古代到现代经济复杂性的各个方面,以进化制度经济学为例及其政策含义
我们突出了一些从古代到现代的复杂思维的例子。我们将早期的复杂性观点引用到对复杂适应性(经济)系统的前沿理解。这说明,简单的(新古典主义)均衡思维是一个很大的豁免,而不是HET的“正常”。自20世纪80年代以来,数学、统计、数据和计算资源得到了充分的发展,并且实际上成功地结合在一起,最终证明了复杂性经济学是做现实和科学经济学的方式,而不是简化主义和简单的均衡模型。我们用进化制度经济学的一个例子来说明这种科学的现实世界经济学的潜力,并考虑这种复杂经济思维的现代政策含义。
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来源期刊
International Journal of Public Policy
International Journal of Public Policy Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
0.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
17
期刊介绍: The IJPP proposes and fosters discussion on public policy issues facing nation states and national and supranational organisations, including governments, and how these diverse groups approach and solve common public policy problems. The emphasis will be on governance, accountability, the creation of wealth and wellbeing, and the implications policy choices have on nation states and their citizens. This perspective acknowledges that public policy choice and execution is complex and has ramifications on the welfare of citizens; and that, despite national differences, the actions of nation states are constrained by policies determined by supranational bodies, some of which are not directly accountable to any international body.
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