Features of «infrastructure menu» credit instruments and their potential impact on budget situation in Russian regions

А.М. Abdullaev, D.Yu. Zemlyanskii, D.M. Medvednikova, V.A. Chuzhenkova
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Abstract

The article presents an analysis of the law regulation and regional distribution of funds provided within the framework of the „infrastructure menu“ instruments – additional measures of state support for infrastructure development in the regions of Russia. Two instruments are considered in detail – restructuring of budget loans and the issuance of infrastructure budget loans for regions. The emphasis is placed on the analysis of the principles of providing support and allocation funds by region, as well as on possible aspects of the potential impact of these instruments on the budgetary situation in the subjects of the Russian Federation. It is revealed that the regulated rules for the implementation of the analyzed instruments poorly take into account the real needs of the regions in funds for infrastructure development. The delayed nature of the start of repayment of the main part of budget loans (from 2025) and the restrictions on debt policy laid down in the regulatory framework for the regions create longterm risks of fiscal sustainability for most territories due to a sharp increase in debt servicing costs and probable shortfall of income from ongoing projects against the background of sanctions pressure. The article shows that mechanisms of the „infrastructure menu“ can play the most significant role only for relatively populated, but less developed territories that previously did not have sufficient budget funds for the implementation of large infrastructure projects – the Rostov and Vladimir oblasts, Republic of Daghestan, Altai kray, etc.
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«基础设施菜单»信贷工具的特点及其对俄罗斯地区预算状况的潜在影响
本文分析了在“基础设施菜单”工具框架内提供的法律法规和区域分配资金-国家支持俄罗斯地区基础设施发展的额外措施。详细考虑了两种工具-预算贷款重组和发放地区基础设施预算贷款。重点是分析按区域提供支助和分配资金的原则,以及分析这些文书对俄罗斯联邦各主题的预算状况可能产生的影响的各个方面。结果表明,实施所分析工具的规范规则很少考虑到该地区在基础设施发展资金方面的实际需求。预算贷款的主要部分(从2025年起)开始偿还的延迟性质以及区域管理框架中对债务政策的限制给大多数领土造成了财政可持续性的长期风险,原因是偿债成本急剧增加,以及在制裁压力的背景下,正在进行的项目可能缺乏收入。文章表明,“基础设施菜单”机制只能在人口相对较多,但以前没有足够预算资金实施大型基础设施项目的欠发达地区发挥最重要的作用-罗斯托夫州和弗拉基米尔州,达吉斯坦共和国,阿尔泰克雷等。
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