A Novel Approach to Heart Failure Prediction and Classification through Advanced Deep Learning Model

Abdalla Mahgoub
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Abstract

In this study, the author will investigate and utilize advanced machine learning models related to two different methodologies to determine the best and most effective way to predict individuals with heart failure and cardiovascular diseases. The first methodology involves a list of classification machine learning algorithms, and the second methodology involves the use of a deep learning algorithm known as MLP or Multilayer Perceptrons. Globally, hospitals are dealing with cases related to cardiovascular diseases and heart failure as they are major causes of death, not only for overweight individuals but also for those who do not adopt a healthy diet and lifestyle. Often, heart failures and cardiovascular diseases can be caused by many factors, including cardiomyopathy, high blood pressure, coronary heart disease, and heart inflammation [1]. Other factors, such as irregular shocks or stress, can also contribute to heart failure or a heart attack. While these events cannot be predicted, continuous data from patients’ health can help doctors predict heart failure. Therefore, this data-driven research utilizes advanced machine learning and deep learning techniques to better analyze and manipulate the data, providing doctors with informative decision-making tools regarding a person’s likelihood of experiencing heart failure. In this paper, the author employed advanced data preprocessing and cleaning techniques. Additionally, the dataset underwent testing using two different methodologies to determine the most effective machine-learning technique for producing optimal predictions. The first methodology involved employing a list of supervised classification machine learning algorithms, including Naïve Bayes (NB), KNN, logistic regression, and the SVM algorithm. The second methodology utilized a deep learning (DL) algorithm known as Multilayer Perceptrons (MLPs). This algorithm provided the author with the flexibility to experiment with different layer sizes and activation functions, such as ReLU, logistic (sigmoid), and Tanh. Both methodologies produced optimal models with high-level accuracy rates. The first methodology involves a list of supervised machine learning algorithms, including KNN, SVM, Adaboost, Logistic Regression, Naive Bayes, and Decision Tree algorithms. They achieved accuracy rates of 86%, 89%, 89%, 81%, 79%, and 99%, respectively. The author clearly explained that Decision Tree algorithm is not suitable for the dataset at hand due to overfitting issues. Therefore, it was discarded as an optimal model to be used. However, the latter methodology (Neural Network) demonstrated the most stable and optimal accuracy, achieving over 87% accuracy while adapting well to real-life situations and requiring low computing power overall. A performance assessment and evaluation were carried out based on a confusion matrix report to demonstrate feasibility and performance. The author concluded that the performance of the model in real-life situations can advance not only the medical field of science but also mathematical concepts. Additionally, the advanced preprocessing approach behind the model can provide value to the Data Science community. The model can be further developed by employing various optimization techniques to handle even larger datasets related to heart failures. Furthermore, different neural network algorithms can be tested to explore alternative approaches and yield different results.
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一种基于深度学习模型的心力衰竭预测与分类新方法
在这项研究中,作者将研究和利用与两种不同方法相关的先进机器学习模型,以确定预测心力衰竭和心血管疾病患者的最佳和最有效方法。第一种方法涉及分类机器学习算法的列表,第二种方法涉及使用称为MLP或多层感知器的深度学习算法。在全球范围内,医院正在处理与心血管疾病和心力衰竭有关的病例,因为它们不仅是超重个人死亡的主要原因,而且也是那些不采取健康饮食和生活方式的人死亡的主要原因。通常,心力衰竭和心血管疾病可由许多因素引起,包括心肌病、高血压、冠心病和心脏炎症。其他因素,如不规律的电击或压力,也会导致心力衰竭或心脏病发作。虽然这些事件无法预测,但来自患者健康状况的连续数据可以帮助医生预测心力衰竭。因此,这项数据驱动的研究利用先进的机器学习和深度学习技术来更好地分析和操纵数据,为医生提供关于一个人患心力衰竭可能性的信息决策工具。在本文中,作者采用了先进的数据预处理和清洗技术。此外,使用两种不同的方法对数据集进行了测试,以确定产生最佳预测的最有效的机器学习技术。第一种方法涉及使用一系列监督分类机器学习算法,包括Naïve贝叶斯(NB)、KNN、逻辑回归和支持向量机算法。第二种方法使用了一种称为多层感知器(mlp)的深度学习(DL)算法。该算法为作者提供了实验不同层大小和激活函数的灵活性,如ReLU、logistic (sigmoid)和Tanh。这两种方法都产生了具有高准确率的最佳模型。第一种方法涉及一系列监督机器学习算法,包括KNN、SVM、Adaboost、Logistic回归、朴素贝叶斯和决策树算法。它们的准确率分别为86%、89%、89%、81%、79%和99%。作者明确解释了决策树算法不适合手头的数据集,因为存在过拟合问题。因此,不再作为最优模型使用。然而,后一种方法(神经网络)显示出最稳定和最佳的精度,达到了87%以上的精度,同时很好地适应了现实生活中的情况,总体上需要较低的计算能力。基于混淆矩阵报告进行了性能评估和评价,以证明可行性和性能。作者的结论是,该模型在现实生活中的表现不仅可以推进医学领域的科学,还可以推进数学概念。此外,该模型背后的高级预处理方法可以为数据科学社区提供价值。该模型可以通过采用各种优化技术来进一步发展,以处理与心力衰竭相关的更大数据集。此外,可以测试不同的神经网络算法来探索替代方法并产生不同的结果。
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