Prediction of Graduation for Students at the ISB Atma Luhur Faculty of Information Technology Using the C4.5 Algorithm

Abstract

Higher Education is a level of education after secondary education which includes diploma programs, undergraduate programs, master programs, doctoral programs, professional programs, and specialist programs organized based on the culture of the Indonesian nation. Student graduation is one of the important factors to improve university accreditation. Students who graduate above 5 years and the number of students who drop out are important indicators in determining accreditation which then causes the difficulty of accrediting a college to rise. This research aims as an early warning for students who graduate on time and graduate late from the Faculty of Information Technology, Institute of Science and Business Atma Luhur using the C4.5 decision tree algorithm by implementing the Cross-Industry Standard Process for Data Mining (CRISP- DM) method. The initial data of this research amounted to 1,015 which was taken through a query in the database of the Atma Luhur Institute of Science and Business. However, the data that will be used becomes 694 after preprocessing due to the large number of record contents that do not have a graduation year, with a total of 641 graduates graduating on time and 53 graduates graduating late. Based on the application of the model using the C4.5 decision tree algorithm and the Confusion Matrix method, the accuracy is 93.94%, Recall is 98.59%, and Precision is 95.03%. So it can be concluded that the C4.5 decision tree algorithm is the most effective algorithm for predicting student graduation, because it has a high level of accuracy.