Sticky substance with sticky power: Oil in global production and financial networks

Michael Grote, Dariusz Wojcik, Matthew Zook
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Abstract

To analyse oil, the world’s most traded commodity, we combine Global Production Network (GPN) and Global Financial Network (GFN) approaches into the Global Production and Financial Network (GPFN). The combination offers a dynamic framework, as key actors and geographies in the GPFN change over time. It brings together the production and financial strands of research on oil and overcomes the physical reality v. financial fiction dichotomy in literature. Using a wide range of data on oil networks, prices, historical accounts, as well as industry, media and policy reports, we apply the GPFN to explain the evolution of oil networks, since their inception, as well as the mid- and short-term price anomalies since 2010. Our history of oil GPFN demonstrates the stability of its analytical categories and the stickiness of power wielded by some actors and geographies, while others come and go. Our account of price anomalies shows the inseparability of physical and financial factors in explaining them. As whole the GFPN is an opportunity to understand the evolving broad structures, distribution of power and price formation in markets, and as such represents a way forward for studying other products and sectors.
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具有粘性的物质:全球生产和金融网络中的石油
为了分析世界上交易量最大的大宗商品石油,我们将全球生产网络(GPN)和全球金融网络(GFN)的方法结合到全球生产和金融网络(GPFN)中。这种组合提供了一个动态框架,因为GPFN中的关键参与者和地理位置随时间而变化。它将石油的生产和金融研究结合在一起,克服了文学中物理现实与金融小说的二分法。利用石油网络、价格、历史记录以及行业、媒体和政策报告的广泛数据,我们应用GPFN来解释石油网络自成立以来的演变,以及2010年以来的中期和短期价格异常。我们的石油GPFN历史证明了其分析类别的稳定性以及一些参与者和地理区域所掌握的权力的粘性,而其他参与者和地理区域则来来去去。我们对价格异常的描述表明,在解释价格异常时,物理因素和金融因素是不可分割的。总体而言,GFPN是一个了解市场中不断发展的广泛结构、权力分布和价格形成的机会,因此代表了研究其他产品和部门的前进方向。
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