A Financial Cost-benefit Analysis of Forest Plantation for Restoration Program in Shan State of Myanmar

Aye Chan Ko Ko, Zhang Ying, Theint Theint Htun
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Abstract

Understanding the costs and benefits of plantations can provide a better way for resources management in restoration area. This paper focuses on the net present value (NPV) and the internal rate of return (IRR) and benefit-cost ratio (BCR) for financial performance of the plantations. A combination of secondary information survey method and field survey method for data collection was carried out in this study. On the basis of an annual discount rate of 10%, the results indicate positive NPVs, pure teak plantation would attain the highest BCR and the acceptable NPV, but its IRR is smaller than agroforestry practice due to the discounting effect of late return over a long investment period. Pure teak plantation is found to be most profitable following by agroforestry practice (teak and turmeric) and pine plantation. From a pure financial point of view, plantations should be encouraged but its long-term productivity and adverse ecological effects have to be taken into account. It also needs systematically calculation to obtain high-quality timber in the final harvest of forest plantations, but also to obtain large volume of timber to satisfy more economic benefits. The results provide valuable information for plantation policy for the government.
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缅甸掸邦人工林恢复项目的财务成本效益分析
了解人工林的成本和效益,可以为恢复地区的资源管理提供更好的方法。本文重点研究了人工林财务绩效的净现值(NPV)、内部收益率(IRR)和效益成本比(BCR)。本研究采用二次信息调查法和实地调查法相结合的方法进行数据收集。在年折现率为10%的基础上,净现值为正,纯柚木人工林的BCR和可接受的净现值最高,但由于投资周期较长,后期收益的折现效应,其IRR小于农林业。纯柚木种植被认为是最有利可图的,其次是农林业实践(柚木和姜黄)和松树种植。从纯粹的财政角度来看,应该鼓励种植,但必须考虑到其长期生产力和不利的生态影响。在人工林的最终采伐中,既要获得优质的木材,又要获得大量的木材,以满足更多的经济效益,这也需要系统的计算。研究结果为政府制定人工林政策提供了有价值的信息。
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