Analisis Kinerja Sistem Proteksi Berdasarkan Peramalan Beban Pada Penyulang Galunggung

Mieftah Mochammad, None Bakti Indra Kurniawan, Imron Ridzki, Rachmat Sutjipto
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Abstract

The Galunggung feeder has a total line length of 10.68 kilometers and is supplied by power transformer number 1 at the Polehan substation, with a capacity of 30 MVA. As of December 2020, the peak load on the Galunggung feeder was recorded at 231.4 A, while the lowest load was 133.9 A. Up to the current condition, the Galunggung feeder is operating within standard parameters, with a voltage drop of 0.434 kV or 2.17%. However, it is possible that with future developments and an increase in the number of customers over the years, the energy demand will also increase. Due to this additional energy demand, the protection system may require adjustments to accommodate the increased load.After conducting load forecasting using simple linear regression, a forecast for the next 10 years was obtained. In the year 2030, it is anticipated that the Galunggung feeder will experience a 24% increase in load. With this load increase and no changes to transformers or conductors, there will be no alterations to impedance and short-circuit current calculations. Therefore, no protection setting adjustments are necessary. The recommended action would be to upgrade some transformers that are approaching their capacity limits.
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基于字段复合负载的负载绩效分析
加龙宫馈线总长10.68公里,由Polehan变电站1号电力变压器供电,容量为30mva。截至2020年12月,加龙宫支线的最高负荷为231.4 A,最低负荷为133.9 A。截至目前,加龙宫馈线在标准参数范围内运行,电压降为0.434千伏或2.17%。然而,随着未来的发展和多年来客户数量的增加,能源需求也有可能增加。由于这种额外的能源需求,保护系统可能需要调整以适应增加的负载。通过简单的线性回归进行负荷预测,得出了未来10年的负荷预测。预计到2030年,加龙宫支线的载客量将增加24%。随着负载的增加而不改变变压器或导体,将不会改变阻抗和短路电流的计算。因此,不需要调整保护设置。建议采取的行动是升级一些接近其容量极限的变压器。
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