Extreme Value Index Estimation in the Extreme Value Theorem under Non-Linear Normalization

Q3 Business, Management and Accounting American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-02 DOI:10.1080/01966324.2023.2256436
O. M. Khaled, H. M. Barakat, N. Khalil Rakha
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Abstract

AbstractThe primary goal of this study is to expand the application of the extreme value theorem by developing the modeling of extreme values using non-linear normalization. The issue of estimating the extreme value index (the non-zero extreme value index) under power and exponential normalization is addressed in this study. Under exponential normalization, counterparts of the Hill estimators for the extreme value index estimators under linear normalization are proposed based on the characteristics of the extreme value index, threshold, and the data itself. In addition, based on the generalized Pareto distributions, more condensed and flexible Hill estimators are proposed under power and exponential normalization. These proposed estimators assist us to choose the threshold more flexibly and getting rid of data waste. The R-package runs a thorough simulation analysis to examine the effectiveness of the suggested estimators.Keywords: Extreme value theoremgeneralized extreme value distributiongeneralized pareto distributionshill estimatorsmaximum likelihood methodnon-linear normalization AcknowledgementsThe authors are immensely grateful to Professor Madhuri S. Mulekar, the Editor in Chief of American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences, as well as the anonymous referees for their careful reading of the manuscript and their constructive detailed comments.Disclosure StatementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Data Availability StatementThe simulated data used to support the findings of this study are included within the article.
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非线性归一化条件下极值定理中的极值指标估计
摘要本研究的主要目的是通过发展使用非线性归一化的极值建模来扩展极值定理的应用。本文研究了幂和指数归一化条件下极值指数(非零极值指数)的估计问题。在指数归一化条件下,根据极值指标、阈值和数据本身的特点,提出了线性归一化条件下极值指标估计量的希尔估计量。此外,在广义Pareto分布的基础上,在幂和指数归一化条件下,提出了更加简洁灵活的Hill估计。这些估计有助于我们更灵活地选择阈值,避免数据浪费。r包运行一个彻底的仿真分析,以检查建议的估计器的有效性。关键词:极值定理广义极值分布广义帕累托分布弥勒估计最大似然方法非线性归一化致谢作者非常感谢《美国数学与管理科学杂志》主编Madhuri S. Mulekar教授以及匿名审稿人对本文的认真阅读和建设性的详细意见。披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。数据可用性声明用于支持本研究结果的模拟数据包含在文章中。
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来源期刊
American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences
American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences Business, Management and Accounting-Business, Management and Accounting (all)
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
5
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