隠匿情報検査における効果量を用いた弁別的反応の判別法の改良

Yusuke Shibuya, Michiko Tsuneoka, Reo Takahashi, Tokihiro Ogawa
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Abstract

The concealed information test (CIT) is a memory detection technique that examines whether an examinee knows crime-relevant information. In Japanese field applications, an expert judge whether the examinee recognizes crime-relevant information by visually inspecting differences in physiological responses to crime-relevant and crime-irrelevant items. This study proposes an improvement of the statistical method for discriminating differential physiological responses that integrates multiple autonomic measures. The proposed method involves (a) weighting of effect sizes based on the consistency of differential physiological responses and (b) utilizing information on the covariate relationships of physiological indices. This method was applied to CIT data obtained from 167 participants. The proposed method exhibited adequate specificity (95%) and inconclusive rate (20%) for utilization in criminal investigations, though the sensitivity (75%) was moderate. The proposed method is expected to improve the validity of the CIT by increasing sensitivity and specificity through its combination with expert judgement.
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使用隐匿信息检查中的效果量的辨别性反应的判别法的改良
隐藏信息测验(CIT)是一种检验考生是否知道犯罪相关信息的记忆检测技术。在日本的实地测试中,专家通过视觉检查考生对犯罪相关和犯罪无关项目的生理反应差异来判断考生是否识别出与犯罪相关的信息。本研究提出了一种改进的统计方法,用于区分多种自主测量的差异生理反应。所提出的方法包括(a)基于差异生理反应的一致性对效应大小进行加权,(b)利用生理指标的协变量关系信息。该方法应用于167名参与者的CIT数据。该方法在刑事调查中具有足够的特异性(95%)和不确定率(20%),尽管灵敏度(75%)中等。该方法与专家判断相结合,提高了CIT的敏感性和特异性,提高了CIT的有效性。
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