Foreign Debt and Infrastructural Development in Nigeria

Mayowa Ebenezer ARIYIBI, Richard AKINGUNOLA, Israel Oludare ASOGBA
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Abstract

Despite, the external loans the Nigerian government has been receiving all this while, Nigeria continues to record a high rate of unemployment among the active labor force, high poverty rate, low per capita income, inadequate power, and water supply, inadequate social amenities, bad road network, high budget deficit, high rate of corruption in all government parastatal. Hence, this study examined the effect of foreign debts on Nigeria's Infrastructural developments. The study made use of Auto-regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL), using annual time series from 1983-2019. Collected from CBN statistical bulletin, National Bureau Statistics (NBS), World Development Indicators (WDI) databank, and UNCTAD Database. The ARDL long-run coefficient reveals that BMFI and BBFI have a negative and positive insignificant and significant effect on INFRA in Nigeria, while the control variables of FDI and TOPEN has a positive and negative significant effect on INFRA in NigeriaThe findings give credence to the dual gap theory postulation, that external debt is a phenomenon that can improve the level of growth of an economy. Conclusively, the government should make sure that the foreign debt received from international organizations is used for the infrastructural development in the country and proffer policies and innovations that will help in recovering the foreign debts in the country.
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尼日利亚的外债和基础设施发展
尽管尼日利亚政府一直在接受外部贷款,但尼日利亚的活跃劳动力失业率仍然很高,贫困率高,人均收入低,电力和供水不足,社会设施不足,道路网络不良,预算赤字高,所有政府半国有部门腐败率高。因此,本研究审查了外债对尼日利亚基础设施发展的影响。该研究使用了自回归分布滞后(ARDL),使用了1983-2019年的年度时间序列。资料来源CBN统计公报、国家统计局、世界发展指标数据库和贸发会议数据库。ARDL长期系数显示,尼日利亚的BMFI和BBFI对尼日利亚的INFRA具有负向和正向的不显著和显著的影响,而FDI和TOPEN的控制变量对尼日利亚的INFRA具有正向和负向的显著影响。研究结果证实了双重差距理论的假设,即外债是一种可以提高经济增长水平的现象。最后,政府应确保从国际组织获得的外债用于该国的基础设施发展,并提供有助于收回该国外债的政策和创新。
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