The Impact of the Exchange Rate on Foreign Direct Investment in the Iraqi Agricultural Sector for the Period 1990-2021

Ahmed Al-Ajrawi
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 The main objective of the research is to measure the impact of the exchange rate on foreign direct investment in Iraq, and to achieve this, it has been relying on time series data for foreign direct investment, the exchange rate, gross domestic product, inflation rate, and money supply for the period 1990-2021 by applying to the Iraqi economy as independent economic variables and their impact on The dependent variable is the exchange rate, and the unit root and stability test was carried out, and in order to detect the inactivity of the series variables, the developed Dickie-Fuller test was used, and the AIC standard was relied upon to test the slowing periods using the descriptive and quantitative method based on the Eviews-12 statistical program. The test proved that the variables of the study appeared static in the level and the first difference, which allows the use of the autoregressive model of the distributed time gap ARDL. And foreign direct investment in the agricultural sector and a positive relationship in the long and short term between GDP and foreign direct investment in the agricultural sector. As for the money supply in the broad sense, the relationship was inverse and significant in the long term only. in the agricultural sector.
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Abstract

The main objective of the research is to measure the impact of the exchange rate on foreign direct investment in Iraq, and to achieve this, it has been relying on time series data for foreign direct investment, the exchange rate, gross domestic product, inflation rate, and money supply for the period 1990-2021 by applying to the Iraqi economy as independent economic variables and their impact on The dependent variable is the exchange rate, and the unit root and stability test was carried out, and in order to detect the inactivity of the series variables, the developed Dickie-Fuller test was used, and the AIC standard was relied upon to test the slowing periods using the descriptive and quantitative method based on the Eviews-12 statistical program. The test proved that the variables of the study appeared static in the level and the first difference, which allows the use of the autoregressive model of the distributed time gap ARDL. And foreign direct investment in the agricultural sector and a positive relationship in the long and short term between GDP and foreign direct investment in the agricultural sector. As for the money supply in the broad sense, the relationship was inverse and significant in the long term only. in the agricultural sector.
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1990-2021年期间汇率对伊拉克农业部门外国直接投资的影响
& # x0D;研究的主要目的是测量的影响汇率在伊拉克的外国直接投资,并为实现这一目标,它依赖于时间序列数据对外国直接投资,汇率,国内生产总值、通货膨胀率、货币供给和申请1990 - 2021年期间的伊拉克经济独立的经济变量对因变量的影响是汇率,和单位根和稳定性测试,为了检测序列变量的不活动性,采用了开发的Dickie-Fuller检验,并依靠AIC标准,采用基于Eviews-12统计程序的描述性和定量方法对慢期进行了检验。检验证明,本研究的变量在水平和一阶差分中呈现静态,允许使用分布时间间隙ARDL的自回归模型。而农业部门的外国直接投资和GDP与农业部门的外国直接投资之间的长期和短期正相关关系。对于广义的货币供应量而言,这种关系仅在长期内呈负相关且显著。在农业部门。
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