Analysis of the Interaction of Participation 30 Index with Dow Jones Islamic Markets Index and CBOE Volatility Index

Halilibrahim GÖKGÖZ, Cantürk KAYAHAN
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Abstract

This study aims to examine the dynamic relationship between Islamic markets and global financial risk factors using the Dow Jones Islamic Markets World Index (DJIM), Participation 30 Index (KATLM 30), and the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX). The analysis applies the DCC-GARCH model to the daily return series from January 3, 2014, to December 31, 2021. The results reveal a negative interaction between VIX and the Islamic indices throughout the study period. Furthermore, the dynamic correlation coefficient between VIX and DJIM (-0.755040) was higher than that between VIX and KATLM 30 (-0.180328), while the dynamic correlation coefficient between KATLM 30 and DJIM (0.26989) was weak and positive. These findings suggest that KATLM 30 is less affected by global risks, exhibits less integration into the global financial system, and serves as a better diversifier for international investment portfolios than DJIM. This study provides valuable insights for investors and portfolio managers and contributes to enhancing portfolio management strategies.
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参与指数与道琼斯伊斯兰市场指数和芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数的互动分析
本研究旨在利用道琼斯伊斯兰市场世界指数(DJIM)、参与30指数(KATLM 30)和芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)来研究伊斯兰市场与全球金融风险因素之间的动态关系,并将DCC-GARCH模型应用于2014年1月3日至2021年12月31日的日收益序列。结果表明,在整个研究期间,VIX和伊斯兰指数之间存在负相互作用。此外,VIX与DJIM的动态相关系数(-0.755040)高于与KATLM 30的动态相关系数(-0.180328),而KATLM 30与DJIM的动态相关系数(0.26989)较弱且呈正相关。这些发现表明,与DJIM相比,KATLM 30受全球风险的影响较小,与全球金融体系的融合程度较低,并且可以更好地分散国际投资组合。本研究为投资者和投资组合管理者提供了有价值的见解,有助于提高投资组合管理策略。
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