Use of object-oriented simulation in solving issues of optimal enterprise management

M. L. Lapshina, O. O. Lukina, D. D. Lapshin
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Abstract

The current economic situation in the world is very unstable, which significantly affects the further development of companies. Therefore, an important role in choosing the optimal strategy of companies is played by correctly chosen strategic management. The relevance of this issue is confirmed by a large number of publications, both theoretical and practical, not only here in Russia, but also far beyond its borders. The paper presents an algorithmic approach to the possibility of choosing a strategic vector for the development of a company, analyzes the possibility of building and further using a modernized SWOT matrix that allows the formation of strategic alternatives for the company and takes into account future prospects and risks both in the external market and in the domestic market, and substantiates the weaknesses of this approach leading to loss of data in the study of risk conditions. The paper presents and substantiates the possibility of using simulation tools, as well as the apparatus for probabilistic evaluation of results using estimated weighting factors. The weight coefficients of the objective function in each local case for the corresponding alternative are presented using a specific logical term, and it also becomes possible to describe some restrictions from the allowable space using a conceptual interpretation. In this case, the use of fuzzy logic methods allows us to write down the problem of multi-alternative optimization, taking into account the fact that each alternative can be associated with a specific fuzzy set that best reflects the level of optimality for each objective function in the corresponding alternative of the decision being made. It should be taken into account that any compromise alternative belongs simultaneously to the space of acceptable alternatives and the space of the most optimal solutions.
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利用面向对象的仿真方法解决企业最优管理问题
当前世界经济形势非常不稳定,严重影响了企业的进一步发展。因此,正确选择战略管理对企业的最优战略选择起着重要的作用。这一问题的相关性得到了大量理论和实践出版物的证实,这些出版物不仅在俄罗斯,而且远远超出其边界。本文提出了一种算法方法来选择公司发展的战略向量的可能性,分析了建立和进一步使用现代化SWOT矩阵的可能性,该矩阵允许公司形成战略替代方案,并考虑到外部市场和国内市场的未来前景和风险,并证实了这种方法的弱点,导致风险条件研究中的数据丢失。本文提出并证实了使用模拟工具的可能性,以及使用估计加权因子对结果进行概率评估的装置。使用特定的逻辑术语给出了目标函数在每个局部情况下的权重系数,并且可以使用概念解释来描述允许空间中的一些限制。在这种情况下,使用模糊逻辑方法允许我们写下多备选优化问题,考虑到每个备选方案都可以与一个特定的模糊集相关联,该模糊集最能反映所做决策的相应备选方案中每个目标函数的最优性水平。应当考虑到,任何折衷备选方案同时属于可接受的备选方案空间和最优解决方案空间。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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发文量
70
审稿时长
8 weeks
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