Predictive model of post-fire reforestation in the Irkutsk region

Olga Grigoreva, Oleg Grinko, Igor' Grigor'ev, Evgeny Kalita, Evgeniy Tihonov
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Abstract

Forest fires are one of the most acute problems of the forest complex of the Russian Federation. On the one hand, most of the natural coniferous forests of the boreal zone have pyrogenic origin, and forest fires are a natural component of the successions of coniferous forests. On the other hand, forest fires cause great damage, consisting in the costs of extinguishing them, burnt material values, including damaged stands on the root, as well as environmental damage - pollution of the air basin over large areas, pollution of runoff into reservoirs, etc. Different tree species, in different forest growing conditions, react differently to the pyrogenic effects of different intensities. A striking example is the larch forests of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), growing on permafrost, and very well adapted to fairly frequent wildfires. The adoption of management decisions on the types and methods of reforestation after forest fires of various intensity should be based on predictive models of the course of natural reforestation. To compile such a model for the forests of the Irkutsk region, full-scale experimental studies were carried out, consisting in the examination of hares of different years, after forest fires of varying intensity. As a result of statistical processing of the experimental data obtained, mathematical dependences of the development of a multicomponent forest ecosystem, including coniferous and deciduous trees of the younger, middle and older age groups, presented in this article, were compiled. The work was carried out within the framework of the scientific school "Innovative developments in the field of logging industry and forestry" of the Arctic State Agrotechnological University.
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伊尔库茨克地区火灾后再造林的预测模型
森林火灾是俄罗斯联邦森林综合体最严重的问题之一。一方面,北方寒带天然针叶林大多具有热原性,森林火灾是针叶林演替的自然组成部分。另一方面,森林火灾造成巨大的损害,包括灭火的费用,燃烧的物质价值,包括根部的树木受损,以及环境破坏-大面积的空气盆地污染,流入水库的径流污染等。不同的树种,在不同的森林生长条件下,对不同强度的热原效应有不同的反应。一个显著的例子是萨哈共和国(雅库特)的落叶松森林,生长在永久冻土上,非常适应相当频繁的野火。不同强度森林火灾后再造林的类型和方法的管理决策应以自然再造林过程的预测模型为基础。为了为伊尔库茨克地区的森林编制这样一个模型,进行了全面的实验研究,包括在不同强度的森林火灾后对不同年份的野兔进行检查。通过对实验数据的统计处理,编制了包括针叶树和落叶树在内的多组分森林生态系统发展的数学依赖关系。这项工作是在北极国家农业技术大学“伐木工业和林业领域的创新发展”科学学院的框架内进行的。
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