Deconstructing Deglobalization: The Future of Trade is in Intermediate Services

IF 4.5 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Asian Economic Policy Review Pub Date : 2023-10-10 DOI:10.1111/aepr.12440
Richard Baldwin, Rebecca Freeman, Angelos Theodorakopoulos
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Abstract

This article contests the idea that the world has entered a post-globalization era. It argues that rapid globalization has evolved rather than ended. Even though the global goods trade-to-GDP ratio reached its zenith 15 years ago, the rapid rise of services trade has persisted and now accounts for one-fifth of international commerce. The paper makes a statistical and logical case that the future of trade lies in services trade—especially trade in intermediate services.

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解构去全球化:贸易的未来在于中间服务
本文对世界已进入后全球化时代的观点提出质疑。文章认为,快速全球化是发展而非终结。尽管全球货物贸易与国内生产总值的比率在 15 年前达到了顶峰,但服务贸易的迅速崛起仍在持续,目前已占到国际商业的五分之一。本文从统计和逻辑上证明,贸易的未来在于服务贸易,尤其是中间服务贸易。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
12.90
自引率
2.60%
发文量
39
期刊介绍: The goal of the Asian Economic Policy Review is to become an intellectual voice on the current issues of international economics and economic policy, based on comprehensive and in-depth analyses, with a primary focus on Asia. Emphasis is placed on identifying key issues at the time - spanning international trade, international finance, the environment, energy, the integration of regional economies and other issues - in order to furnish ideas and proposals to contribute positively to the policy debate in the region.
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