Statistical Analysis and Mathematical Modelling for the Utilization and Efficacy of Menthol Crystals Vapor Inhalation for the Control of the Covid-19 Pandemic

Christopher Ogunsalu
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Abstract

Aim: To find out the utilization and efficacy of menthol crystal and its vapor in Jamaica since the validating clinical trial for its use in the prevention and cure of COVID-19 and by extension utilize by extrapolation and mathematical modeling the possible effect of its utilization on the hospitalization, morbidity and mortality from COVID-19. Method: The aim of this paper is to utilize a purposefully designed questionnaire called the Menthol crystal utilization questionnaire which is to be completed by pharmacists in Montego Bay Jamaica, and to be subjected to statistical analysis so as to appreciate at a glance whether there has been an increase in the usage of menthol crystal through purchases after a clinical trial designed to validate the use of menthol as a drug or chemical substance that can prevent the acquisition of COVID-19 and that also cure the early diagnosed COVID-19. This questionnaire-based research also looks into whether menthol crystal is a prescription drug in Jamaica or not and additionally it is designed to evaluate the complications and side effects if any following the use if menthol during the pandemic. The statistical outcome was then subjected to mathematical model for efficacy function of sale volume and the period of menthol crystal utilization for the treatment and control of COVID-19. Conclusion: All the respondent pharmacies declared that menthol crystals are not a prescription medical substance. They all also responded that there has been an increase usage of menthol by customers, which is identified by an unusually high, though variable increase in purchase ranging from 10-20% to 90-100. None of these respondents identified any side effect or complication following the use of menthol crystal.
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薄荷醇晶体蒸汽吸入对新冠肺炎疫情控制效果的统计分析与数学建模
目的:了解薄荷醇晶体及其蒸汽在牙买加防治新型冠状病毒肺炎临床试验验证以来的使用情况和疗效,并通过外推法和数学模型分析其使用对新型冠状病毒肺炎住院率、发病率和死亡率可能产生的影响。方法:本文的目的是利用一份有目的设计的问卷,名为薄荷醇晶体利用问卷,由牙买加蒙特哥湾的药剂师完成。并进行统计分析,以便在临床试验后,通过购买薄荷醇晶体的使用是否有所增加,该临床试验旨在验证薄荷醇作为药物或化学物质的使用,可以防止获得COVID-19并治愈早期诊断的COVID-19。这项基于问卷的研究还调查了薄荷醇晶体在牙买加是否是处方药,此外,它旨在评估在大流行期间使用薄荷醇后的并发症和副作用(如果有的话)。将统计结果应用于薄荷醇晶体治疗和控制COVID-19的销量和使用周期功效函数的数学模型。结论:所有受访药店均声明薄荷醇晶体不是处方药。他们也都回应说,顾客对薄荷醇的使用量有所增加,购买量的增加幅度从10-20%到90- 100%不等,但可以确定的是,薄荷醇的使用量异常高。这些应答者均未发现使用薄荷醇晶体后的任何副作用或并发症。
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