Impactos de la política monetaria y canales de transmisión en países de América Latina con esquema de inflación objetivo

Q3 Social Sciences Ensayos Sobre Politica Economica Pub Date : 2015-04-01 DOI:10.1016/j.espe.2015.02.001
Jorge David Quintero Otero
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引用次数: 9

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to compare the effect of monetary policy on economic activity in the five longest-operating Latin American countries operating the inflation targeting scheme (Chile, Brazil, Colombia, Peru and Mexico). A structural VAR model is estimated for each country using similar variables, finding that the impacts are significantly higher in Mexico and Peru. This paper also seeks to identify the best transmission channels operating in each country. This is carried out by estimating other structural VAR models in each country, but expanded with variables that should be the link between monetary policy decisions and changes in economic activity. The results show a greater relative importance in all countries for the interest rate channel. The exchange rate channel is shown to be important in Mexico, and the channels associated with the vision of credit are relevant only in Peru.

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采用客观通货膨胀方案的拉丁美洲国家的货币政策影响和传导渠道
本研究的目的是比较货币政策对实行通货膨胀目标制的五个拉丁美洲国家(智利、巴西、哥伦比亚、秘鲁和墨西哥)经济活动的影响。使用相似的变量对每个国家的结构VAR模型进行了估计,发现墨西哥和秘鲁的影响明显更高。本文还试图确定在每个国家运行的最佳传输渠道。这是通过估计每个国家的其他结构性风险价值模型来进行的,但扩大了应该是货币政策决定与经济活动变化之间联系的变量。结果表明,利率渠道在所有国家都具有较大的相对重要性。汇率渠道在墨西哥被证明是重要的,而与信贷愿景相关的渠道仅在秘鲁是相关的。
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来源期刊
Ensayos Sobre Politica Economica
Ensayos Sobre Politica Economica Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
4
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