A new framework for using weather-sensitive surplus power reserves in critical infrastructure

IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Meteorological Applications Pub Date : 2023-11-23 DOI:10.1002/met.2158
James Fallon, David Brayshaw, John Methven, Kjeld Jensen, Louise Krug
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Abstract

Reserve power systems are widely used to provide power to critical infrastructure systems in the event of power outages. The reserve power system may be subject to regulation, typically focussing on a strict operational time commitment, but the energy involved in supplying reserve power may be highly variable. For example, if heating or cooling is involved, energy consumption may be strongly influenced by prevailing weather conditions and seasonality. Replacing legacy assets (often diesel generators) with modern technologies could offer potential benefits and services back to the wider electricity system when not in use, therefore supporting a transition to low-carbon energy networks. Drawing on the Great Britain telecommunications systems as an example, this paper demonstrates that meteorological reanalyses can be used to evaluate capacity requirements to maintain the regulated target of 5-days operational reserve. Across three case-study regions with diverse weather sensitivities, infrastructure with cooling-driven electricity demand is shown to increase energy consumption during summer, thus determining the overall capacity of the reserve required and the availability of ‘surplus’ capacity. Lower risk tolerance is shown to lead to a substantial cost increase in terms of capacity required but also enhanced opportunities for surplus capacity. The use of meteorological forecast information is shown to facilitate increased surplus capacity. Availability of surplus capacity is compared to a measure of supply–stress (demand-net-wind) on the wider energy network. For infrastructure with cooling-driven demand (typical of most UK telecommunication assets), it is shown that surplus availability peaks during periods of supply–stress, offering the greatest potential benefit to the national electricity grid.

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在关键基础设施中使用对天气敏感的剩余电力储备的新框架
备用电力系统广泛用于在停电情况下为关键基础设施系统提供电力。备用电力系统可能受到监管,通常侧重于严格的运行时间承诺,但供应备用电力所涉及的能源可能是高度可变的。例如,如果涉及供暖或制冷,能源消耗可能受到当时天气条件和季节性的强烈影响。用现代技术取代遗留资产(通常是柴油发电机)可以在不使用时为更广泛的电力系统提供潜在的好处和服务,从而支持向低碳能源网络的过渡。本文以英国电信系统为例,论证了气象再分析可用于评估维持5天运行储备监管目标的容量需求。在三个具有不同天气敏感性的案例研究区域中,制冷驱动电力需求的基础设施在夏季增加了能源消耗,从而决定了所需储备的总体容量和“剩余”容量的可用性。较低的风险承受能力会导致所需产能的成本大幅增加,但也会增加剩余产能的机会。利用气象预报资料有助于增加过剩的运力。将剩余容量的可用性与更广泛的能源网络上的供应压力(需求净风)进行比较。对于具有冷却驱动需求的基础设施(典型的大多数英国电信资产),研究表明,在供应紧张期间,剩余可用性达到峰值,为国家电网提供了最大的潜在利益。
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来源期刊
Meteorological Applications
Meteorological Applications 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
3.70%
发文量
62
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The aim of Meteorological Applications is to serve the needs of applied meteorologists, forecasters and users of meteorological services by publishing papers on all aspects of meteorological science, including: applications of meteorological, climatological, analytical and forecasting data, and their socio-economic benefits; forecasting, warning and service delivery techniques and methods; weather hazards, their analysis and prediction; performance, verification and value of numerical models and forecasting services; practical applications of ocean and climate models; education and training.
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