The Crystal Ball of User-Generated Content: Indication of P2P Lending Platform Failure

IF 6.9 3区 管理学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Information Systems Frontiers Pub Date : 2023-11-27 DOI:10.1007/s10796-023-10449-8
Wenjie Huang
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Abstract

User-generated content (UGC) provides us with a rich channel to aggregate public information. The study examines whether UGC could predict the failure of P2P lending platforms, which also depends on crowds’ involvement and contribution. Specifically, we examine a web forum with user comments on the P2P platforms and extract consumer opinion valence and opinion concentration with natural language processing (NLP) techniques. Time-dependent Cox regression analysis shows that consumer opinion has a strong prediction power for platform survival. If consumer opinions on a platform are positive and concentrated, a platform is more likely to survive. Besides, the two factors show a substitution effect to each other. This study deepens our understanding of UGC, which has significant implications for research. It also forms an application of information technology on risk assessment, by expanding the risk indicators to UGC-related information sources.

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用户生成内容的水晶球:P2P借贷平台失败的标志
用户生成内容(UGC)为我们提供了一个丰富的渠道来收集公共信息。该研究考察了UGC是否可以预测P2P借贷平台的失败,这也取决于人群的参与和贡献。具体来说,我们研究了一个包含P2P平台用户评论的网络论坛,并使用自然语言处理(NLP)技术提取了消费者的意见价和意见集中度。时变Cox回归分析表明,消费者意见对平台生存具有较强的预测能力。如果一个平台上的消费者意见是正面的、集中的,那么这个平台就更有可能生存下去。此外,二者之间还存在替代效应。本研究加深了我们对UGC的认识,具有重要的研究意义。此外,透过将风险指标扩展至与教资会有关的资料来源,将资讯科技应用于风险评估。
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来源期刊
Information Systems Frontiers
Information Systems Frontiers 工程技术-计算机:理论方法
CiteScore
13.30
自引率
18.60%
发文量
127
审稿时长
9 months
期刊介绍: The interdisciplinary interfaces of Information Systems (IS) are fast emerging as defining areas of research and development in IS. These developments are largely due to the transformation of Information Technology (IT) towards networked worlds and its effects on global communications and economies. While these developments are shaping the way information is used in all forms of human enterprise, they are also setting the tone and pace of information systems of the future. The major advances in IT such as client/server systems, the Internet and the desktop/multimedia computing revolution, for example, have led to numerous important vistas of research and development with considerable practical impact and academic significance. While the industry seeks to develop high performance IS/IT solutions to a variety of contemporary information support needs, academia looks to extend the reach of IS technology into new application domains. Information Systems Frontiers (ISF) aims to provide a common forum of dissemination of frontline industrial developments of substantial academic value and pioneering academic research of significant practical impact.
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