Stock market liquidity during crisis periods: Australian evidence

Lee A. Smales
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Abstract

Liquidity is an important characteristic of financial markets, affecting portfolio decisions and priced risk. During periods of market turmoil, such as occurs during financial crisis, investors have an elevated need for cash and so understanding how liquidity differs during those periods is important. We examine how stock market liquidity was impacted by two crises with distinct origins, the global financial crisis (GFC) and the COVID-pandemic. Our sample includes the S&P/ASX200 constituents for the period January 2005–December 2020. We find that the Australian stock market is less liquid during both crisis periods; spreads are wider, depth is lower, and price impact is larger (stock prices move a lot in response to small amounts of volume). Although the magnitude of the liquidity change is greater at the onset of COVID, the duration of the impact is longer during the GFC, resulting in a larger average effect. While trading volume declines during the GFC, it increases during COVID. Our results are robust to alternate liquidity proxies, methodologies and crisis period identification, and generally applicable across stock sectors.
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危机时期的股市流动性:澳大利亚的证据
流动性是金融市场的一个重要特征,影响投资组合决策和定价风险。在市场动荡时期,比如在金融危机期间,投资者对现金的需求会增加,因此了解这些时期流动性的变化是很重要的。我们研究了全球金融危机(GFC)和新冠肺炎大流行这两场起源不同的危机如何影响股市流动性。我们的样本包括2005年1月至2020年12月期间的标普/ASX200成分股。我们发现,在两次危机期间,澳大利亚股市的流动性都较差;价差更大,深度更低,价格影响更大(股票价格对少量成交量的反应很大)。尽管在新冠肺炎爆发时流动性变化的幅度更大,但在全球金融危机期间影响的持续时间更长,导致平均影响更大。虽然全球金融危机期间交易量下降,但在COVID期间交易量增加。我们的结果是稳健的替代流动性代理,方法和危机时期的识别,并普遍适用于整个股票行业。
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