Unconventional monetary policy in the Euro area: Impacts on loans, employment, and investment

António Afonso, Francisco Gomes Pereira
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Abstract

Using a dataset of bank- and regional-level data, we study the effectiveness and heterogeneity of the transmission mechanism of the ECB's large scale asset purchases (LSAPs) to the real economy. Our results indicate that banks more exposed to government debt securities had higher growth of loans and loans relative to total assets than less exposed banks after the asset purchase programme (APP), but not after the pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP). Furthermore, our results demonstrate that regions where banks are more exposed to government securities exhibit more favorable outcomes after the APP in GDP, fixed capital formation, unemployment, and compensation of employees than regions with less exposed banks, via the bank lending channel. We argue that banks' exposure to LSAPs targeted assets and their geographical location is an important factor determining the magnitude and heterogeneity of the portfolio rebalancing transmission mechanism to the real economy.
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欧元区非常规货币政策:对贷款、就业和投资的影响
利用银行和地区层面的数据集,我们研究了欧洲央行大规模资产购买(LSAPs)向实体经济传导机制的有效性和异质性。我们的研究结果表明,在资产购买计划(APP)之后,政府债券敞口较大的银行的贷款和贷款相对于总资产的增长高于敞口较小的银行,但在疫情紧急购买计划(pep)之后则没有。此外,我们的研究结果表明,通过银行贷款渠道,银行对政府证券敞口较大的地区在GDP、固定资本形成、失业率和员工薪酬方面表现出比银行敞口较小的地区更有利的结果。我们认为,银行对LSAPs目标资产的敞口及其地理位置是决定投资组合再平衡传导机制对实体经济的规模和异质性的重要因素。
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