Handle with Care: Regulatory Easing in Times of COVID-19

Fabián Valencia,Richard Varghese,Weijia Yao,Juan F. Yépez
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Abstract

Abstract The policy response to the COVID-19 shock included regulatory easing across many jurisdictions to facilitate the flow of credit to the economy and mitigate a further amplification of the shock through tighter financial conditions. Using an intraday event study, this paper examines how stock prices – a key driver of financial conditions – reacted to regulatory easing announcements in a sample of 18 advanced economies and 8 emerging markets. It finds that regulatory easing announcements contributed to looser financial conditions but effects varied across sectors and tools. News about regulatory easing led to lower valuations for financial sector stocks, mainly in jurisdictions with relatively lower capital buffers. These results stand in stark contrast with valuations of non-financial sector stocks, which increased in response to regulatory relief announcements, particularly in industries that are more dependent on bank financing. The effects also differed across tools. Valuations declined and financial conditions tightened following announcements related to easier bank capital regulation while equity valuation rose and financial conditions loosened after those about liquidity regulation.
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小心处理:COVID-19时期的监管放松
针对2019冠状病毒病冲击的政策应对措施包括许多司法管辖区放松监管,以促进信贷流向经济,并通过收紧金融条件缓解冲击的进一步扩大。本文通过日内事件研究,考察了18个发达经济体和8个新兴市场的股票价格——金融状况的关键驱动因素——对监管放松公告的反应。报告发现,放松监管的公告有助于放松金融环境,但影响因行业和工具而异。有关监管放松的消息导致金融板块股票估值下降,主要是在资本缓冲相对较低的司法管辖区。这些结果与非金融类股的估值形成鲜明对比。非金融类股的估值在监管机构宣布放松监管后有所上升,尤其是那些更依赖银行融资的行业。不同工具的效果也不同。在有关放宽银行资本监管的公告发布后,估值下降,金融状况收紧,而在有关流动性监管的公告发布后,股票估值上升,金融状况宽松。
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