The fiducial-Bayes fusion: A general theory of statistical inference

Russell J. Bowater
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Abstract

An overview is presented of a general theory of statistical inference that is referred to as the fiducial-Bayes fusion. This theory combines organic fiducial inference and Bayesian inference. The aim is that the reader is given a clear summary of the conceptual framework of the fiducial-Bayes fusion as well as pointers to further reading about its more technical aspects. Particular attention is paid to the issue of how much importance should be attached to the role of Bayesian inference within this framework. The appendix contains a substantive example of the application of the theory of the fiducial-Bayes fusion, which supplements various other examples of the application of this theory that are referenced in the paper.
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基准-贝叶斯融合:统计推断的一般理论
概述了统计推断的一般理论,被称为基准-贝叶斯融合。该理论结合了有机基准推理和贝叶斯推理。目的是让读者对基准-贝叶斯融合的概念框架有一个清晰的总结,并指出进一步阅读其更多的技术方面。特别要注意的是,在这个框架中,贝叶斯推理的作用应该得到多大的重视。附录中包含基准贝叶斯融合理论应用的实例,它补充了本文中引用的该理论应用的各种其他实例。
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