BATTULGA GANKHUU, JACOB KLEINOW, ALTANGEREL LKHAMSUREN, ANDREAS HORSCH
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
This study introduces a stochastic multi-period dividend discount model (DDM) that includes (i) a compound nonhomogenous Poisson process for dividend growth and (ii) the probability of firm default. We obtain maximum likelihood (ML) estimators and confidence interval formulas of our model parameters. We apply the model to a set of firms from the S&P 500 index using historical dividend and price data over a 42-year period. Interestingly, stock price estimations calculated with the model are close to the observable prices. Overall, we prove that the model can be a useful tool for stock pricing.
期刊介绍：
The shift of the financial market towards the general use of advanced mathematical methods has led to the introduction of state-of-the-art quantitative tools into the world of finance. The International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF) brings together international experts involved in the mathematical modelling of financial instruments as well as the application of these models to global financial markets. The development of complex financial products has led to new challenges to the regulatory bodies. Financial instruments that have been designed to serve the needs of the mature capitals market need to be adapted for application in the emerging markets.
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