Identifying Politically Connected Firms: A Machine Learning Approach*

IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI:10.1111/obes.12586
Vitezslav Titl, Deni Mazrekaj, Fritz Schiltz
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Abstract

This article introduces machine learning techniques to identify politically connected firms. By assembling information from publicly available sources and the Orbis company database, we constructed a novel firm population dataset from Czechia in which various forms of political connections can be determined. The data about firms' connections are unique and comprehensive. They include political donations by the firm, having members of managerial boards who donated to a political party, and having members of boards who ran for political office. The results indicate that over 85% of firms with political connections can be accurately identified by the proposed algorithms. The model obtains this high accuracy by using only firm-level financial and industry indicators that are widely available in most countries. These findings suggest that machine learning algorithms could be used by public institutions to improve the identification of politically connected firms with potentially large conflicts of interest.

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识别政治关联公司:机器学习方法*
本文介绍了机器学习技术来识别有政治关系的公司。通过收集来自公开来源和奥比斯公司数据库的信息,我们构建了一个来自捷克的新型企业人口数据集,其中可以确定各种形式的政治关系。有关公司关系的数据是独特而全面的。其中包括公司的政治捐款、有向政党捐款的管理委员会成员、有竞选政治职位的管理委员会成员。结果表明,超过85%的具有政治关系的公司可以被所提出的算法准确识别。该模型仅通过使用在大多数国家广泛可用的公司级财务和行业指标来获得这种高准确性。这些发现表明,公共机构可以使用机器学习算法来改进对具有潜在巨大利益冲突的政治关联公司的识别。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 管理科学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
54
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Whilst the Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics publishes papers in all areas of applied economics, emphasis is placed on the practical importance, theoretical interest and policy-relevance of their substantive results, as well as on the methodology and technical competence of the research. Contributions on the topical issues of economic policy and the testing of currently controversial economic theories are encouraged, as well as more empirical research on both developed and developing countries.
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